Welsh Premier League
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Oval
  • B. Young 22' goal
  • B. Young 68' goal
  • Iwan Lewis 73' yellowcard
  • Zack Clarke 73' yellowcard
  • Danny Gossett 80' goal
  • Joshua Lock 84' yellowcard
  • Adam Davies 84' yellowcard
  • Caron Williams 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Hill 64'
  • yellowcard Jamie Cumming 79'
  • yellowcard Lewis Sirrell 89'
  • yellowcard Aaron Williams 90'
  • yellowcard Sam Hart 90'+1'

Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 7.45pm
New Saints 2 - 1 Caernarfon
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Phil Mooney

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 2.30pm
Colwyn Bay 3 - 1 Pen-y-Bont
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Jordan Davies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 1-2 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Caernarfon Town 43.42% (-0.02)
Draw 23.42% (+0.02)
Colwyn Bay 33.21% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.71%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.43% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 18.57% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 60.49% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 39.51% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 38.35% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 61.65% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 23.44% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 76.56% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Caernarfon Town 33.63% (-0.06)
Draw 39.09% (-0.02)
Colwyn Bay 27.28% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Caernarfon Town 52.17% (+0.04)
No Goal 4.85% (-0.02)
Colwyn Bay 42.98% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 68.33% (-0.10)
Equal 8 10.06% (+0.01)
Under 8 21.62% (+0.09)
Over 9 57.17% (-0.09)
Equal 9 11.16% (-0.01)
Under 9 31.67% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 45.83% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 54.17% (+0.08)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 1.5 47.51% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 52.49% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 23.32% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 76.68% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 9.41% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.59% (-0.01)

Colwyn Bay Goals

Over 0.5 69.29% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 30.71% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 38.8% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 61.2% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 16.58% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.42% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.02% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.98% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 43.43%
Draw 23.42%
Colwyn Bay 33.2%
Caernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.87%
1-0 @ 7.33% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.01% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.64% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 9%
Total : 43.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.17% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.41% (+0.01)
Total : 23.42%
Colwyn Bay
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.44% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.68%
1-3 @ 3.68% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.61% (+0.02)
Total : 33.2%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Dec 27, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Phil Mooney 44' yellowcard
  • Iwan Lewis 45' yellowcard
  • Sion Bradley 68' goal
  • goal Nathan Peate 15'
  • goal Jamie Cumming 64'
  • yellowcard Louis Robles 67'
  • yellowcard Nathan Peate 67'
Welsh Premier League
Oct 4, 2025 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 21
Dec 31, 2023 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Oval
  • Danny Gosset 39' yellowcard
  • Marc Williams 61' goal
  • Zack Clarke 73' goal
  • yellowcard Tom McCready 33'
  • goal Tom McCready 81'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 5.15pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Llanelian Road
  • Lewis Sirrell 29' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Gosset 7'
  • yellowcard Dion Donohue 32'
  • goal Darren Thomas 36'
  • yellowcard Darren Thomas 39'
  • yellowcard Phil Mooney 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Sion Bradley 57'
  • goal Adam Davies 61'
  • goal Zack Clarke 66'
  • goal Adam Davies 71'
  • yellowcard Louis Lloyd 89'
  • yellowcard Louis Lloyd 89'