Feb 20, 2026 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Park Hall Stadium

Daniel Redmond 10'
Ben Wilson 58'
Daniel Williams 60'
Isaac Jefferies 75'
Danny Davies 75'

Caron Williams 11'
B. Young 45'+1'
Iwan Lewis 87'

The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions

W
W
W
W
W
L

Welsh Premier League

W
W
W
W
W
L

Last game

Feb 13, 2026 7.45pm

Colwyn Bay 0 - 2 New Saints

Goals scored

72

Top scorer

Jordan Williams

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

L
D
D
D
W
L

Welsh Premier League

L
D
D
D
W
L

Last game

Feb 14, 2026 2.30pm

Caernarfon 0 - 2 Barry

Goals scored

51

Top scorer

Phil Mooney

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 81.26%. A draw had a probability of 11.97% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 6.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.74%) and 3-1 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.01%) , while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

The New Saints 81.26%

Draw 11.97%

Caernarfon Town 6.81%

Both Teams to Score:

49.67%

Goals

Over 1.5 88.96% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 11.04% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 72.56%

Under 2.5 27.44%

Over 3.5 54.68%

Under 3.5 45.32%

Over 4.5 43.07%

Under 4.5 56.93%

First Half Winner

The New Saints 55.62%

Draw 31%

Caernarfon Town 13.38%

Team To Score First

The New Saints 76.33%

No Goal 2.56%

Caernarfon Town 21.11%

Corners

Over 8 61.84%

Equal 8 9.88%

Under 8 28.28%

Over 9 51.44%

Equal 9 10.4%

Under 9 38.16%

Over 10.5 41.28%

Under 10.5 58.72%

The New Saints Goals

Over 1.5 80.09% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 19.91% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 58.59% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 41.41% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 37.61%

Under 3.5 62.39%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 33.52% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 0.5 66.48% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 12.12%

Under 1.5 87.88%

Over 2.5 3.53%

Under 2.5 96.47%

Over 3.5 0.95%

Under 3.5 99.05%

Score analysis

The New Saints 81.26%

Draw 11.97%

Caernarfon Town 6.8%

The New Saints

2-0 @ 10.29%

3-0 @ 9.74%

3-1 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.01)

2-1 @ 6.92%

1-0 @ 6.51%

3-2 @ 2.92%

Other @ 37.41%

Total : 81.26%

Draw

1-1 @ 5.01%

2-2 @ 3.35%

0-0 @ 2.56%

Other @ 0.2%

Total : 11.97%

Caernarfon Town

0-1 @ 2%

1-2 @ 1.22%

0-2 @ 1.1%

Other @ 0.75%

Total : 6.8%

Head to Head

Nov 28, 2025 7.45pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Ben Clark 82'
Jordan Williams 90'+5'

Dominic Smith 57'
Connor Roberts 73'

Oct 7, 2025 7.45pm

1

3

HT : 0 0

FT

Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Park Hall Stadium

Ryan Sears 45'+1'
Sion Bradley 90'+4'

Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT The Oval

Gruff John Williams 56'
Sam Downey 65'
90'+6'
Matthew Jones 90'+7'
Matthew Jones 90'+7'

Adam Wilson 21'
Josh Pask 90'+5'

Dec 26, 2024 2.30pm

2

5

HT : 2 3

FT The Oval

Louis Lloyd 5'
Zack Clarke 18'
Phil Mooney 64'

Jack Bodenham 2'
Jordan Williams 11'
Jack Bodenham 40'
Ben Clark 73'
Ben Clark 74'

Oct 9, 2024 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 1 1

FT Park Hall Stadium

Leo Smith 12'

Zack Clarke 33'
Louis Lloyd 82'

Form Data

Colwyn Bay 0 - 2 New Saints

New Saints 6 - 0 Pen-y-Bont

New Saints 1 - 0 Barry

New Saints 1 - 0 Colwyn Bay

New Saints 2 - 1 Bala Town

Connah's Quay 3 - 1 New Saints

Caernarfon 0 - 2 Barry

Connah's Quay 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Pen-y-Bont 0 - 0 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 2 Connah's Quay

Bala Town 0 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 1 - 2 Colwyn Bay