Welsh Premier League
Feb 20, 2026 7.45pm
Park Hall Stadium

The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 7.45pm
Colwyn Bay 0 - 2 New Saints
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jordan Williams

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 2.30pm
Caernarfon 0 - 0 Barry
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Phil Mooney

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a The New Saints win with a probability of 81.26%. A draw has a probability of 11.97% and a win for Caernarfon Town has a probability of 6.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (9.74%) and 3-1 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.01%) , while for a Caernarfon Town win it is 0-1 (2%).

Result

The New Saints 81.26%
Draw 11.97%
Caernarfon Town 6.81%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.67%

Goals

Over 1.5 88.96% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 11.04% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 72.56%
Under 2.5 27.44%
Over 3.5 54.68%
Under 3.5 45.32%
Over 4.5 43.07%
Under 4.5 56.93%

First Half Winner

The New Saints 55.62%
Draw 31%
Caernarfon Town 13.38%

Team To Score First

The New Saints 76.33%
No Goal 2.56%
Caernarfon Town 21.11%

Corners

Over 8 61.84%
Equal 8 9.88%
Under 8 28.28%
Over 9 51.44%
Equal 9 10.4%
Under 9 38.16%
Over 10.5 41.28%
Under 10.5 58.72%

The New Saints Goals

Over 1.5 80.09% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 19.91% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 58.59% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 41.41% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 37.61%
Under 3.5 62.39%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 33.52% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 66.48% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 12.12%
Under 1.5 87.88%
Over 2.5 3.53%
Under 2.5 96.47%
Over 3.5 0.95%
Under 3.5 99.05%

Score analysis

The New Saints 81.26%
Draw 11.97%
Caernarfon Town 6.8%
The New Saints
2-0 @ 10.29%
3-0 @ 9.74%
3-1 @ 7.47% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.92%
1-0 @ 6.51%
3-2 @ 2.92%
Other @ 37.41%
Total : 81.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.01%
2-2 @ 3.35%
0-0 @ 2.56%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 11.97%
Caernarfon Town
0-1 @ 2%
1-2 @ 1.22%
0-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 6.8%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Nov 28, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ben Clark 82' goal
  • Jordan Williams 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Dominic Smith 57'
  • yellowcard Connor Roberts 73'
Welsh Premier League
Oct 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 6
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Ryan Sears 45'+1' goal
  • Sion Bradley 90'+4' goal
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 1
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Oval
  • Gruff John Williams 56' yellowcard
  • Sam Downey 65' yellowcard
  • 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Matthew Jones 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Matthew Jones 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Wilson 21'
  • yellowcard Josh Pask 90'+5'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2024 2.30pm
2
5
HT : 2 3
FT The Oval
  • Louis Lloyd 5' goal
  • Zack Clarke 18' goal
  • Phil Mooney 64' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Bodenham 2'
  • goal Jordan Williams 11'
  • goal Jack Bodenham 40'
  • goal Ben Clark 73'
  • goal Ben Clark 74'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 1
Oct 9, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Leo Smith 12' goal
  • goal Zack Clarke 33'
  • goal Louis Lloyd 82'