Welsh Premier League
Mar 21, 2026 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Max Woodcock 4' goal
  • Noah Edwards 52' yellowcard
  • Jack Kenny 58' yellowcard
  • C. Partridge 78' yellowcard
  • Jason Oswell 78' yellowcard
  • Rhys Hughes 78' yellowcard
  • Rhys Hughes 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Billy Borge 58'
  • yellowcard Jacob Jones 58'
  • yellowcard Ioan Phillips 77'
  • goal Alexander Cvetkovic 81'

Connah's Quay Nomads vs Pen-y-Bont - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
Caernarfon 2 - 4 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Harry Franklin

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont 1 - 2 New Saints
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Ioan Phillips

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.26%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 21.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 (5.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 57.26% (+0.05)
Draw 21.03%
Pen-y-Bont 21.7%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.31%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.06% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 15.94% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 64.89% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 35.11%
Over 3.5 43.1%
Under 3.5 56.9%
Over 4.5 28.4% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 71.6% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Connah's Quay Nomads 40.49%
Draw 36.54%
Pen-y-Bont 22.97%

Team To Score First

Connah's Quay Nomads 60.17%
No Goal 4.09% (+0.01)
Pen-y-Bont 35.74% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.77%
Equal 8 11.13%
Under 8 32.1% (-0.01)
Over 9 45.53% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 43.23%
Over 10.5 35.06%
Under 10.5 64.94%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 1.5 59.92% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 40.08% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 34.63% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 65.37% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 17.27%
Under 3.5 82.73%

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 58.63% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 41.37% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 29.2% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 70.8% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 11.1% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 88.9% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.72% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.28% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 57.27%
Draw 21.04%
Pen-y-Bont 21.7%
Connah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.52% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.51% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.47% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.35% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 16.91% (+0.02)
Total : 57.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.01% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 4.09% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.36% (-0.02)
Total : 21.04%
Pen-y-Bont
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.34% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.65% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 21.7%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Feb 14, 2026 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brewery Field
  • Owain Warlow 60' yellowcard
  • Alexander Cvetkovic 75' yellowcard
  • Noah Daley 75' yellowcard
  • Ioan Phillips 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Callum Bratley 56'
  • yellowcard Jack Kenny 69'
  • yellowcard Zeli Ismail 83'
Welsh Premier League
Nov 8, 2025 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League
Aug 30, 2025 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2025 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bryntirion Park
  • Keyon Reffell 54' goal
  • Mark Little 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John Disney 90'+1'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 15, 2024 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT University Stadium
  • Jack Kenny 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Harling 41'
  • yellowcard Billy Borge 50'
  • yellowcard Billy Borge 69'
  • goal Gabe Kircough 78'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The KYMCO Stadium
  • Shaun MacDonald 7' yellowcard
  • Eliot Richards 54' yellowcard
  • Lewis Harling 70' yellowcard
  • Mael Davies 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kai Edwards 12'
  • yellowcard Harry Franklin 56'
  • goal Michael Wilde 87'
  • yellowcard Declan Poole 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ryan Stratulis 90'+4'
  • redcard Declan Poole 90'+5'