Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%).