Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm

The Oval

Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay Nomads - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

W
L
L
D
D
D

Welsh Premier League

W
L
L
D
D
D

Last game

Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm

Caernarfon 3 - 0 Colwyn Bay

Goals scored

49

Top scorer

Phil Mooney

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

L
L
D
D
D
D

Welsh Premier League

L
L
D
D
D
D

Last game

Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm

Connah's Quay 1 - 2 New Saints

Goals scored

52

Top scorer

Harry Franklin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Caernarfon Town has a probability of 35.64% and a draw has a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win is 2-1 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.97%).

Result

Caernarfon Town 35.64%

Draw 24.54%

Connah's Quay Nomads 39.82%

Both Teams to Score:

57.87%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.79% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 20.21% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 57.9%

Under 2.5 42.1%

Over 3.5 35.29% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 64.71% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 4.5 20.95%

Under 4.5 79.05%

First Half Winner

Caernarfon Town 30.5%

Draw 39.21%

Connah's Quay Nomads 30.28%

Team To Score First

Caernarfon Town 46.13%

No Goal 5.43%

Connah's Quay Nomads 48.44%

Corners

Over 8 54.1% ▼ (-0.01)

Equal 8 11.51%

Under 8 34.39%

Over 9 42.7% ▼ (-0.01)

Equal 9 11.4%

Under 9 45.9% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 10.5 32.32%

Under 10.5 67.69% ▲ (+0.01)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 1.5 39.83% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 60.17% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 17.4% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 82.6% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 6.35%

Under 3.5 93.65%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 73.76%

Under 0.5 26.24%

Over 1.5 43.14%

Under 1.5 56.86%

Over 2.5 19.57%

Under 2.5 80.43%

Over 3.5 7.35%

Under 3.5 92.65%

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 35.66%

Draw 24.54%

Connah's Quay Nomads 39.83%

Caernarfon Town

2-1 @ 8.06%

1-0 @ 7.08%

2-0 @ 5.02%

3-1 @ 3.86%

3-2 @ 2.9%

3-0 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 6.02%

Total : 35.66%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.97%

2-2 @ 6.24%

0-0 @ 5.43%

3-3 @ 1.57%

Other @ 0.33%

Total : 24.54%

Connah's Quay Nomads

1-2 @ 8.56%

0-1 @ 7.73%

0-2 @ 5.87%

1-3 @ 4.27%

0-3 @ 3.27%

2-3 @ 3.11%

Other @ 7.02%

Total : 39.83%

Head to Head

Feb 6, 2026 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Deeside College Stadium

Rhys Hughes 43'
Rhys Hughes 44'
Callum Bratley 81'
Jason Oswell 86'
Jason Oswell 87'

Matthew Jones 69'
Zack Clarke 69'
Mathew Jones 69'
87'
Adam Davies 87'
Rio Lloyd Owen 87'
S. Bradley 90'+2'
Sion Bradley 90'+2'

Jan 13, 2026 7.45pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT The Oval

Phil Mooney 25'
Rio Owen 58'
Rio Owen 59'
Connor Salisbury 75'
Phil Mooney 80'
Phil Mooney 81'

Callum Bratley 2'
James Jones 28'
James Jones 29'
Rhys Hughes 59'
Max Woodcock 85'
Freddie Redshaw 85'

Sep 23, 2025 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Deeside College Stadium

Rhys Hughes 34'
Chris Marriott 69'
Ben Nash 71'
Noah Edwards 82'

Paulo Mendes 15'
Adam Davies 61'
Ryan Sears 65'
Phil Mooney 83'
Phil Mooney 88'

Sep 28, 2024 5.15pm

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT The Oval

Paulo Mendes 18'
Darren Thomas 28'
Darren Thomas 45'+1'
Zack Clarke 56'
Ryan Sears 85'
Joe Faux 90'+7'

Chris Marriott 38'
John Disney 83'

Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Dion Donohue 15'
Louis Lloyd 53'
Marc Williams 58'
Marc Williams 90'+4'

Dan Roberts 65'
Jordan Davies 90'+6'

Form Data

Caernarfon 3 - 0 Colwyn Bay

New Saints 2 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 0 - 2 Barry

Connah's Quay 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Pen-y-Bont 0 - 0 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 2 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 1 - 2 New Saints

Barry 1 - 0 Connah's Quay

Pen-y-Bont 0 - 0 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Colwyn Bay 2 - 2 Connah's Quay

Caernarfon 2 - 2 Connah's Quay