Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 (6.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.