Welsh Premier League
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Noah Edwards 58' yellowcard
  • Harry Franklin 85' goal
  • Max Woodcock 89' yellowcard
  • Max Woodcock 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Barton 65'
  • yellowcard Ben Wilson 70'
  • yellowcard Ben Clark 70'
  • yellowcard Ben Wilson 83'
  • goal Danny Davies 90'+5'

Connah's Quay Nomads vs The New Saints - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 2.30pm
Barry 1 - 0 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Harry Franklin

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 7.45pm
New Saints 2 - 1 Caernarfon
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Jordan Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 (6.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 25.46% (+2.04)
Draw 23.2% (+1.04)
The New Saints 51.34% (-3.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.95% (-0.99)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.31% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 19.69% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 58.54% (-0.64)
Under 2.5 41.46% (+0.64)
Over 3.5 35.8% (-0.45)
Under 3.5 64.2% (+0.45)
Over 4.5 22.03% (-0.33)
Under 4.5 77.97% (+0.33)

First Half Winner

Connah's Quay Nomads 28.19% (+2.43)
Draw 38.91% (-0.20)
The New Saints 32.9% (-2.25)

Team To Score First

Connah's Quay Nomads 41.33% (+2.29)
No Goal 5.26% (+0.13)
The New Saints 53.41% (-2.42)

Corners

Over 8 55.21% (-1.04)
Equal 8 11.28% (+0.17)
Under 8 33.52% (+0.90)
Over 9 43.95% (-1.11)
Equal 9 11.26% (+0.08)
Under 9 44.79% (+1.04)
Over 10.5 33.58% (-1.10)
Under 10.5 66.42% (+1.11)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 1.5 30.79% (+1.88)
Under 1.5 69.21% (-1.89)
Over 2.5 11.56% (+1.13)
Under 2.5 88.44% (-1.13)
Over 3.5 3.76% (+0.65)
Under 3.5 96.24% (-0.66)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 80.43% (-1.30)
Under 0.5 19.57% (+1.31)
Over 1.5 52.18% (-2.36)
Under 1.5 47.82% (+2.36)
Over 2.5 26.66% (-1.33)
Under 2.5 73.34% (+1.33)
Over 3.5 11.41% (-0.98)
Under 3.5 88.59% (+0.97)

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 25.47%
Draw 23.2%
The New Saints 51.35%
Connah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 6.44% (+0.71)
1-0 @ 5.68% (+0.27)
2-0 @ 3.45% (+0.27)
3-1 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 2.12% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 1.66% (+0.15)
Other @ 3.54% (+0.50)
Total : 25.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.46% (+0.64)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.26% (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.44% (+0.16)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.16)
Total : 23.2%
The New Saints
1-2 @ 9.73% (-0.80)
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.29)
0-2 @ 7.85% (-0.37)
1-3 @ 5.38% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 4.91% (-0.25)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.17)
Other @ 11.19% (-1.14)
Total : 51.35%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Dec 31, 2025 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Rhys Hughes 9' goal
  • Noah Edwards 37' yellowcard
  • Max Woodcock 41' goal
  • Max Woodcock 42' yellowcard
  • Callum West 80' goal
  • 89' yellowcard
  • Kit Margetson 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 12'
  • yellowcard Daniel Williams 12'
  • goal Jordan Williams 55'
  • yellowcard 86'
  • yellowcard Ryan Brobbel 86'
Welsh Premier League
Aug 22, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 21
Dec 31, 2024 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Ryan Brobbel 27' goal
  • Rory Holden 32' yellowcard
  • Jordan Williams 37' goal
  • Jordan Williams 45'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Noah Edwards 23'
  • goal Noah Edwards 31'
  • redcard Jack Kenny 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ben Nash 61'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 3
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Noah Edwards 15' yellowcard
  • Jack Kenny 54' goal
  • goal Declan McManus 86'
  • goal Ben Clark 87'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 10
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Adrian Cieslewicz 88' goal
  • Kai Edwards 90' goal
  • yellowcard John Disney 59'
  • yellowcard Ben Nash 60'
  • yellowcard Noah Edwards 70'
  • yellowcard Noah Edwards 73'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
1
5
HT : 0 4
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Jack Kenny 46' goal
  • Noah Edwards 72' yellowcard
  • goal Joshua Daniels 4'
  • goal Ben Clark 20'
  • goal Daniel Davies 36'
  • goal Jordan Williams 42'
  • goal Declan McManus 85'