Welsh Premier League
Mar 14, 2026 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Brewery Field
  • Chris Venables 19' goal
  • Ioan Phillips 88' yellowcard
  • Jacob Jones 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Owain Warlow 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Juan Carlos Villacorta 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Peter Coe 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Brobbel 30'
  • yellowcard Jordan Marshall 66'
  • yellowcard Ben Wilson 80'
  • goal Jordan Williams 90'+2'

Pen-y-Bont vs The New Saints - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Barry 1 - 0 Pen-y-Bont
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Ioan Phillips

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Connah's Quay 1 - 2 New Saints
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Jordan Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.89%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%) , while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Pen-y-Bont 16.18% (-0.11)
Draw 23.3% (-0.10)
The New Saints 60.52% (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.47% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.85% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 28.15% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 46.56% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 53.44% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 25.33% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 74.67% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 15.07% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 84.93% (-0.12)

First Half Winner

Pen-y-Bont 21.14% (+0.02)
Draw 41.31% (+0.03)
The New Saints 37.55% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Pen-y-Bont 32.12% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.38% (-0.06)
The New Saints 59.5% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 47.9% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 40.82% (+0.05)
Over 9 37.22% (-0.04)
Equal 9 10.67% (-0.01)
Under 9 52.1% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 27.89% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 72.11% (+0.02)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 1.5 17.03% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 82.97% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 3.85% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 96.15% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 0.95% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 99.05% (+0.02)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 81.69% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 18.31% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 51.57% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 48.43% (-0.30)
Over 2.5 25.41% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 74.59% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 10.26% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 89.74% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Pen-y-Bont 16.18%
Draw 23.32%
The New Saints 60.53%
Pen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 5.91% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 4.27% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.52% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.94% (-0.03)
Total : 16.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.38% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.72%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.32%
The New Saints
0-1 @ 13.89% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 11.89% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.71% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 6.67% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 5.45% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 10.25% (+0.15)
Total : 60.53%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Feb 7, 2026 12.30pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Jordan Williams 22' goal
  • Rory Holden 26' goal
  • Ryan Brobbel 47' goal
  • Rory Holden 51' goal
  • Adam Wilson 52' yellowcard
  • Daniel Barton 64' yellowcard
  • Ben Wilson 64' yellowcard
  • Ben Clark 64' yellowcard
  • Jordan Marshall 76' yellowcard
  • Rory Holden 79' goal
  • Ben Wilson 87' goal
  • yellowcard Ethan Cann 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Billy Borge 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Noah Daley 56'
  • yellowcard Chris Venables 56'
Welsh Premier League
Oct 11, 2025 5.15pm
6
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Mar 29, 2025 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bryntirion Park
  • James Crole 73' goal
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 3
Feb 8, 2025 12.15pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Daniel Davies 11' goal
  • Harrison McGahey 34' yellowcard
  • Aramide Oteh 54' goal
  • Daniel Williams 58' yellowcard
  • Ryan Brobbel 63' goal
  • Ben Clark 88' goal
  • yellowcard Harrison McGahey 34'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Josh Pask 50' goal
  • Daniel Davies 65' goal
  • Daniel Redmond 89' goal
  • Aramide Oteh 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal James Crole 27'
  • goal James Crole 31'
  • yellowcard Gabe Kircough 56'
  • yellowcard Nathan Wood 86'
  • yellowcard Billy Borge 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Kane Owen 90'+1'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 20, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Bryntirion Park
  • Clayton Green 13' goal
  • Gabe Kircough 27' yellowcard
  • Lewis Harling 69' yellowcard
  • Keyon Reffell 72' yellowcard
  • Chris Venables 85' goal
  • yellowcard Leo Smith 23'
  • goal Adam Wilson 44'