Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.89%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%) , while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.