Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 69.8%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 13.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%) , while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.