Apr 3, 2026 2.30pm

Park Hall Stadium

The New Saints vs Connah's Quay Nomads - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions

W
L
W
W
W
W

Welsh Premier League

W
L
W
W
W
W

Last game

Mar 27, 2026 7.45pm

Caernarfon 0 - 4 New Saints

Goals scored

76

Top scorer

Jordan Williams

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

D
W
W
L
L
D

Welsh Premier League

D
W
W
L
L
D

Last game

Mar 29, 2026 2.30pm

Connah's Quay 1 - 1 Barry

Goals scored

59

Top scorer

Harry Franklin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a The New Saints win with a probability of 54.51%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads has a probability of 23.15% and a draw has a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win is 1-2 (5.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.13%).

Result

The New Saints 54.51% ▼ (-0.06)

Draw 22.29%

Connah's Quay Nomads 23.15%

Both Teams to Score:

55.63%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.59% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 19.41% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 2.5 59.16%

Under 2.5 40.84%

Over 3.5 37.23%

Under 3.5 62.77%

Over 4.5 23.28% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 4.5 76.72% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

The New Saints 36.91%

Draw 37.7%

Connah's Quay Nomads 25.39%

Team To Score First

The New Saints 55.36%

No Goal 4.97% ▼ (-0.02)

Connah's Quay Nomads 39.67% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.86% ▼ (-0.05)

Equal 8 11.12%

Under 8 36.02% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 9 41.94% ▼ (-0.06)

Equal 9 10.92% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 9 47.14% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 10.5 32.04% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 10.5 67.96% ▲ (+0.03)

The New Saints Goals

Over 1.5 54.88% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 45.12% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 2.5 29.14% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 70.86% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 3.5 12.88% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 87.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 60.01%

Under 0.5 39.99%

Over 1.5 28.65% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 71.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 10.44%

Under 2.5 89.56%

Over 3.5 3.41%

Under 3.5 96.59%

Score analysis

The New Saints 54.5%

Draw 22.3%

Connah's Quay Nomads 23.16%

The New Saints

2-1 @ 9.81%

1-0 @ 9% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.02)

3-1 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.02)

3-0 @ 5.18%

3-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 12.63% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 54.5%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.13%

2-2 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.02)

3-3 @ 1.37%

Other @ 0.25%

Total : 22.3%

Connah's Quay Nomads

1-2 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.02)

0-1 @ 5.4%

0-2 @ 3.12%

1-3 @ 2.35%

2-3 @ 2.18%

0-3 @ 1.13%

Other @ 3.16%

Total : 23.16%

Head to Head

Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT Deeside College Stadium

Noah Edwards 58'
Harry Franklin 85'
Max Woodcock 89'
Max Woodcock 90'+2'

Daniel Barton 65'
Ben Wilson 70'
Ben Clark 70'
Ben Wilson 83'
Danny Davies 90'+5'

Dec 31, 2025 2.30pm

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT

Rhys Hughes 9'
Noah Edwards 37'
Max Woodcock 41'
Max Woodcock 42'
Callum West 80'
89'
Kit Margetson 89'

12'
Daniel Williams 12'
Jordan Williams 55'
86'
Ryan Brobbel 86'

Aug 22, 2025 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Dec 31, 2024 2.30pm

2

1

HT : 2 1

FT Park Hall Stadium

Ryan Brobbel 27'
Rory Holden 32'
Jordan Williams 37'
Jordan Williams 45'+3'

Noah Edwards 23'
Noah Edwards 31'
Jack Kenny 45'+2'
Ben Nash 61'

Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT Deeside College Stadium

Noah Edwards 15'
Jack Kenny 54'

Declan McManus 86'
Ben Clark 87'

Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT Park Hall Stadium

Adrian Cieslewicz 88'
Kai Edwards 90'

John Disney 59'
Ben Nash 60'
Noah Edwards 70'
Noah Edwards 73'

Form Data

Caernarfon 0 - 4 New Saints

New Saints 0 - 2 Colwyn Bay

Pen-y-Bont 1 - 2 New Saints

Connah's Quay 1 - 2 New Saints

New Saints 2 - 1 Caernarfon

Colwyn Bay 0 - 2 New Saints

Connah's Quay 1 - 1 Barry

Connah's Quay 2 - 1 Pen-y-Bont

Caernarfon 2 - 4 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 1 - 2 New Saints

Barry 1 - 0 Connah's Quay

Pen-y-Bont 0 - 0 Connah's Quay