Welsh Premier League
Mar 27, 2026 7.45pm
The Oval

Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 2.30pm
Barry 2 - 1 Caernarfon
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Phil Mooney

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 7.45pm
New Saints 0 - 2 Colwyn Bay
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Jordan Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a The New Saints win with a probability of 57.8%. A win for Caernarfon Town has a probability of 21.4% and a draw has a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.07%) and 0-1 (7.66%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win is 2-1 (5.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.91%).

Result

Caernarfon Town 21.4%
Draw 20.8%
The New Saints 57.8%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.77%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.03%
Under 1.5 15.97%
Over 2.5 64.35%
Under 2.5 35.6%
Over 3.5 42.75%
Under 3.5 57.2%
Over 4.5 28.03%
Under 4.5 71.97%

First Half Winner

Caernarfon Town 25.21%
Draw 37.42%
The New Saints 37.37%

Team To Score First

Caernarfon Town 38.34%
No Goal 4.02%
The New Saints 57.64%

Corners

Over 8 61.9%
Equal 8 10.39%
Under 8 27.71%
Over 9 50.97%
Equal 9 10.93%
Under 9 38.1%
Over 10.5 40.36%
Under 10.5 59.64%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 1.5 29.06%
Under 1.5 70.94%
Over 2.5 11.21%
Under 2.5 88.79%
Over 3.5 3.83%
Under 3.5 96.17%

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 84.45%
Under 0.5 15.55%
Over 1.5 60.26%
Under 1.5 39.74%
Over 2.5 34.37%
Under 2.5 65.63%
Over 3.5 16.61%
Under 3.5 83.39%

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 21.42%
Draw 20.81%
The New Saints 57.79%
Caernarfon Town
2-1 @ 5.22%
1-0 @ 4.31%
2-0 @ 2.69%
3-1 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 21.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.91%
2-2 @ 5.87%
0-0 @ 4.02%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.81%
The New Saints
1-2 @ 9.7%
0-2 @ 8.07%
0-1 @ 7.66%
1-3 @ 6.46%
0-3 @ 5.59%
2-3 @ 4.07%
Other @ 16.24%
Total : 57.79%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Feb 20, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Daniel Redmond 10' goal
  • Ben Wilson 58' goal
  • Daniel Williams 60' yellowcard
  • Isaac Jefferies 75' yellowcard
  • Danny Davies 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caron Williams 11'
  • goal B. Young 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Iwan Lewis 87'
Welsh Premier League
Nov 28, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ben Clark 82' goal
  • Jordan Williams 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Dominic Smith 57'
  • yellowcard Connor Roberts 73'
Welsh Premier League
Oct 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 6
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Ryan Sears 45'+1' goal
  • Sion Bradley 90'+4' goal
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 1
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Oval
  • Gruff John Williams 56' yellowcard
  • Sam Downey 65' yellowcard
  • 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Matthew Jones 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Matthew Jones 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Wilson 21'
  • yellowcard Josh Pask 90'+5'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2024 2.30pm
2
5
HT : 2 3
FT The Oval
  • Louis Lloyd 5' goal
  • Zack Clarke 18' goal
  • Phil Mooney 64' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Bodenham 2'
  • goal Jordan Williams 11'
  • goal Jack Bodenham 40'
  • goal Ben Clark 73'
  • goal Ben Clark 74'