Welsh Premier League
Mar 21, 2026 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Jenner Park
  • Ellis Williams 20' yellowcard
  • Ollie Hulbert 49' goal
  • Ieuan Owen 63' yellowcard
  • Ieuan Owen 83' goal
  • yellowcard Morgan Owen 73'
  • yellowcard Adam Davies 73'
  • goal Kyle Harrison 90'+5'

Barry Town United vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barry Town United

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 2.30pm
Colwyn Bay 3 - 1 Barry
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Ollie Hulbert

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
Caernarfon 2 - 4 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Phil Mooney

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 (6.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Barry Town United 50.15% (-0.06)
Draw 24.48%
Caernarfon Town 25.32%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.27%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.58% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 24.42% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 51.9%
Under 2.5 48.1%
Over 3.5 29.57%
Under 3.5 70.43%
Over 4.5 16.94% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 83.06% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Barry Town United 35.93%
Draw 40%
Caernarfon Town 24.07%

Team To Score First

Barry Town United 53.84%
No Goal 6.66%
Caernarfon Town 39.5%

Corners

Over 8 51.95% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.93%
Under 8 36.12% (+0.01)
Over 9 40.34%
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 48.05% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 29.95%
Under 10.5 70.05%

Barry Town United Goals

Over 1.5 47.37% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.63% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 22.16% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.84% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 8.4%
Under 3.5 91.6%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 61.03% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 38.97% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 27.6% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.4% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 9.43%
Under 2.5 90.57%
Over 3.5 2.71%
Under 3.5 97.29%

Score analysis

Barry Town United 50.15%
Draw 24.48%
Caernarfon Town 25.31%
Barry Town United
1-0 @ 10.86% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.36%
Total : 50.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 6.66%
2-2 @ 5.15%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 24.48%
Caernarfon Town
0-1 @ 6.84%
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 25.31%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Feb 14, 2026 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Oval
  • Zack Clarke 66' yellowcard
  • Rio Lloyd Owen 83' yellowcard
  • Danny Gossett 83' yellowcard
  • Ryan Sears 88' yellowcard
  • Darren Thomas 88' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Margetson 45'
  • yellowcard Keenan Patten 66'
  • yellowcard D. Smith 79'
  • goal Ollie Hulbert 89'
Welsh Premier League
Oct 11, 2025 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League
Sep 7, 2025 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League
Apr 26, 2025 12.15pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT The Oval
  • Louis Lloyd 23' goal
  • Danny Gosset 43' yellowcard
  • Louis Lloyd 45'+1' goal
  • Adam Davies 46' goal
  • Danny Gosset 49' yellowcard
  • Louis Lloyd 58' goal
  • Louis Lloyd 73' goal
  • 78' yellowcard
  • goal Eliot Richards 6'
  • yellowcard Owen James Cuddihy 57'
  • yellowcard Ieuan Gwyn Owen 64'
  • yellowcard Robbie Willmott 80'
  • yellowcard Eliot Richards 83'
  • yellowcard Eliot Richards 84'
  • goal Kayne McLaggon 86'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2024 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT The Oval
  • Louis Lloyd 35' goal
  • Louis Lloyd 44' goal
  • Zack Clarke 49' yellowcard
  • Louis Lloyd 49' yellowcard
  • Matthew Jones 82' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Kavanagh 14'
  • goal Mike George 25'
  • yellowcard Sam Snaith 33'
  • redcard Josh Yorwerth 34'
  • yellowcard Luc Rees 42'
  • yellowcard Callum Sainty 43'
  • goal Ben Margetson 51'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Jenner Park
  • Sam Snaith 10' goal
  • Mike George 79' yellowcard
  • goal Louis Lloyd 9'