Welsh Premier League
Apr 3, 2026 2.30pm
Llanelian Road

Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont 0 - 0 Colwyn Bay
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Jordan Davies

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 7.45pm
Caernarfon 0 - 4 New Saints
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Phil Mooney

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Caernarfon Town has a probability of 32.46% and a draw has a probability of 23.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win is 1-2 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.67%).

Result

Colwyn Bay 43.61% (+0.07)
Draw 23.94% (+0.02)
Caernarfon Town 32.46% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.76% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.16% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 18.84% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 59.88% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 40.12% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 37.88% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 62.12% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 22.99% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 77.01% (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Colwyn Bay 35.84%
Draw 38.38% (+0.02)
Caernarfon Town 25.78% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Colwyn Bay 52.47%
No Goal 4.88% (-0.01)
Caernarfon Town 42.65% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.18% (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.46% (+0.02)
Under 8 29.36% (-0.08)
Over 9 47.37% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.81% (+0.01)
Under 9 40.82% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 36.22% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 63.78% (-0.04)

Colwyn Bay Goals

Over 1.5 47.29% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 52.71% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 22.94% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 77.06% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 9.34% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 90.66% (-0.05)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.82%
Under 0.5 31.18%
Over 1.5 38.05% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 61.95% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 16.27%
Under 2.5 83.73%
Over 3.5 5.82% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.18% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Colwyn Bay 43.61%
Draw 23.93%
Caernarfon Town 32.47%
Colwyn Bay
2-1 @ 8.86% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.67% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.16%
3-1 @ 4.94% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.5% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 9.01% (+0.04)
Total : 43.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.67%
2-2 @ 6.36%
0-0 @ 4.88% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.93%
Caernarfon Town
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 2.97% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.49% (-0.01)
Total : 32.47%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Oval
  • B. Young 22' goal
  • B. Young 68' goal
  • Iwan Lewis 73' yellowcard
  • Zack Clarke 73' yellowcard
  • Danny Gossett 80' goal
  • Joshua Lock 84' yellowcard
  • Adam Davies 84' yellowcard
  • Caron Williams 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Hill 64'
  • yellowcard Jamie Cumming 79'
  • yellowcard Lewis Sirrell 89'
  • yellowcard Aaron Williams 90'
  • yellowcard Sam Hart 90'+1'
Welsh Premier League
Dec 27, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Phil Mooney 44' yellowcard
  • Iwan Lewis 45' yellowcard
  • Sion Bradley 68' goal
  • goal Nathan Peate 15'
  • goal Jamie Cumming 64'
  • yellowcard Louis Robles 67'
  • yellowcard Nathan Peate 67'
Welsh Premier League
Oct 4, 2025 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 21
Dec 31, 2023 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Oval
  • Danny Gosset 39' yellowcard
  • Marc Williams 61' goal
  • Zack Clarke 73' goal
  • yellowcard Tom McCready 33'
  • goal Tom McCready 81'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 5.15pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Llanelian Road
  • Lewis Sirrell 29' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Gosset 7'
  • yellowcard Dion Donohue 32'
  • goal Darren Thomas 36'
  • yellowcard Darren Thomas 39'
  • yellowcard Phil Mooney 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Sion Bradley 57'
  • goal Adam Davies 61'
  • goal Zack Clarke 66'
  • goal Adam Davies 71'
  • yellowcard Louis Lloyd 89'
  • yellowcard Louis Lloyd 89'