Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.