Welsh Premier League
Apr 18, 2026 5.15pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Oval
  • Adrian Cieslewicz 9' goal
  • Rio Lloyd Owen 20' goal
  • Iwan Lewis 60' yellowcard
  • Morgan Owen 78' yellowcard
  • Dominic Smith 79' yellowcard
  • Darren Thomas 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ioan Phillips 66'
  • yellowcard Ash Baker 71'
  • yellowcard Owain Warlow 74'
  • yellowcard Juan Carlos Villacorta 75'

Caernarfon Town vs Pen-y-Bont - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 2.30pm
Colwyn Bay 0 - 2 Caernarfon
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Phil Mooney

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont 0 - 2 Barry
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Ioan Phillips

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 (6.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Caernarfon Town 52.59% (-0.37)
Draw 22.25% (+0.06)
Pen-y-Bont 25.16% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.76% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.61% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 16.39% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 63.95% (-0.66)
Under 2.5 36.05% (+0.66)
Over 3.5 41.57% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 58.43% (+0.37)
Over 4.5 26.73% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 73.27% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Caernarfon Town 39.29% (+0.50)
Draw 35.18% (-0.82)
Pen-y-Bont 25.53% (+0.32)

Team To Score First

Caernarfon Town 59.27% (+0.95)
No Goal 4.2% (+0.17)
Pen-y-Bont 36.53% (-1.11)

Corners

Over 8 59.62% (-1.20)
Equal 8 11.35% (+0.25)
Under 8 29.04% (+0.97)
Over 9 47.91% (-1.31)
Equal 9 11.7% (+0.10)
Under 9 40.38% (+1.20)
Over 10.5 36.85% (-1.26)
Under 10.5 63.15% (+1.26)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 1.5 56.11% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 43.89% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 30.39% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 69.61% (+0.68)
Over 3.5 13.76% (-0.48)
Under 3.5 86.24% (+0.47)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 63.29% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 36.71% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 33% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 67% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 13.48% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 86.52% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 4.62% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 95.38% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 52.6%
Draw 22.25%
Pen-y-Bont 25.15%
Caernarfon Town
2-1 @ 10.06% (+0.08)
1-0 @ 7.51% (+0.18)
2-0 @ 6.98% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.19)
3-2 @ 4.12% (+0.07)
Other @ 13.4% (-0.45)
Total : 52.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.64% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.22)
0-0 @ 4.2% (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.98% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.36% (-0.03)
Total : 22.25%
Pen-y-Bont
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 4.68% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3.03% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.87% (+0.19)
2-3 @ 2.61% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.12)
Other @ 4.26% (+0.09)
Total : 25.15%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Jan 24, 2026 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brewery Field
  • Ash Baker 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Joe Woodiwiss 64' yellowcard
  • Owain Warlow 73' yellowcard
  • Jacob Jones 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Owen 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Rio Lloyd Owen 63'
  • yellowcard Iwan Lewis 68'
  • yellowcard Connor Salisbury 79'
Welsh Premier League
Oct 25, 2025 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League
Sep 20, 2025 5.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 9
Apr 13, 2025 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Bryntirion Park
  • James Crole 9' goal
  • Clayton Green 75' goal
  • James Crole 90'+2' goal
  • goal Louis Lloyd 20'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 4
Feb 22, 2025 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Oval
  • Adam Davies 7' goal
  • Adam Davies 51' goal
  • Blaine Hudson 72' goal
  • yellowcard Kane Owen 30'
  • goal James Crole 57'
  • goal James Crole 63'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2024 2.30pm
1
5
HT : 0 2
FT The Oval
  • Gruff John Williams 21' yellowcard
  • Paulo Mendes 68' goal
  • Morgan Owen 74' yellowcard
  • goal Chris Venables 22'
  • goal Nathan Wood 45'+1'
  • goal Nathan Wood 65'
  • goal Gabe Kircough 72'
  • goal James Crole 82'