Welsh Premier League
Apr 3, 2026 2.30pm
Brewery Field

Pen-y-Bont vs Barry Town United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont 0 - 0 Colwyn Bay
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Ioan Phillips

Barry Town United

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Mar 29, 2026 2.30pm
Connah's Quay 1 - 1 Barry
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Ieuan Owen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Barry Town United has a probability of 35.54% and a draw has a probability of 27.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Barry Town United win is 0-1 (10.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.03%).

Result

Pen-y-Bont 36.48% (+1.00)
Draw 27.98% (+0.04)
Barry Town United 35.54% (-1.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.34% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.37% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.63% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 45.16% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 54.84% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 24.17% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 75.83% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 12.78% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 87.22% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Pen-y-Bont 28.4%
Draw 43.42% (+0.08)
Barry Town United 28.18% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Pen-y-Bont 44.62% (+0.45)
No Goal 8.95% (+0.03)
Barry Town United 46.43% (-0.48)

Corners

Over 8 50.7% (+0.22)
Equal 8 12.13% (-0.06)
Under 8 37.17% (-0.15)
Over 9 39% (+0.25)
Equal 9 11.7% (-0.05)
Under 9 49.3% (-0.22)
Over 10.5 28.65% (+0.26)
Under 10.5 71.35% (-0.27)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 1.5 34.21% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 65.79% (-0.72)
Over 2.5 12.82% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 87.18% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 4.04% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 95.96% (-0.15)

Barry Town United Goals

Over 0.5 67.88% (-0.68)
Under 0.5 32.12% (+0.67)
Over 1.5 33.27% (-0.81)
Under 1.5 66.73% (+0.82)
Over 2.5 12.6% (-0.60)
Under 2.5 87.4% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 3.85% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 96.15% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Pen-y-Bont 36.49%
Draw 27.97%
Barry Town United 35.55%
Pen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 10.42% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.04% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 6.27% (+0.22)
3-1 @ 3.27% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 2.61% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 2% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.88% (+0.15)
Total : 36.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.03% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.95% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 27.97%
Barry Town United
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.69% (-0.19)
Total : 35.55%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Jenner Park
  • Theo Wharton 46' yellowcard
  • Ieuan Owen 58' goal
  • D. Smith 65' yellowcard
  • Owen James Cuddihy 73' yellowcard
  • Daniel Barton 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Owain Warlow 46'
  • yellowcard Alexander Cvetkovic 55'
  • yellowcard Noah Daley 64'
  • yellowcard Nathan Wood 64'
Welsh Premier League
Dec 5, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
LIVE
Welsh Premier League
Aug 22, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2024 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Jenner Park
  • Kayne McLaggon 22' goal
  • Keenan Patten 44' yellowcard
  • Kayne McLaggon 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Venables 41'
  • yellowcard James Crole 53'
  • goal Chris Venables 62'
  • goal Clayton Green 71'
  • yellowcard Adam Przybek 87'
  • yellowcard Adam Przybek 89'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 4, 2024 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT Bryntirion Park
  • James Crole 25' yellowcard
  • Clayton Green 42' yellowcard
  • Kane Owen 52' goal
  • Lewis Harling 76' yellowcard
  • Kane Owen 78' goal
  • Nathan Wood 83' goal
  • Chris Venables 85' goal
  • yellowcard Sam Snaith 37'
  • goal Harrison Bright 40'
  • yellowcard Keenan Patten 67'
  • yellowcard Ollie Hulbert 75'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 7
Mar 29, 2024 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Jenner Park
  • Evan Press 45' yellowcard
  • Rhys Davies 48' yellowcard
  • Keenan Patten 52' yellowcard
  • Rhys Davies 57' redcard
  • Ollie Hulbert 90'+2' redcard
  • Ollie Hulbert 90'+2' yellowcard
  • M 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Harling 90'+1'