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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Mar 20, 2021 at 2.45pm UK
 

Bala Town
1 - 2
Caernarfon

Evans (16')
Kay (45+1'), Jones (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hayes (47'), Mendes (70')
Williams (52'), Bickerstaff (82'), Cleworth (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
53.17%22.27%24.56%
Both teams to score 60.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.9%39.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.57%61.43%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22%14.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.95%43.05%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93%29.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.02%64.98%
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 53.17%
    Caernarfon Town 24.57%
    Draw 22.27%
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.7%
1-0 @ 8.22%
2-0 @ 7.85%
3-1 @ 6.18%
3-0 @ 5%
3-2 @ 3.82%
4-1 @ 2.96%
4-0 @ 2.39%
4-2 @ 1.83%
5-1 @ 1.13%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 53.17%
1-1 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 4.3%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.27%
1-2 @ 6.27%
0-1 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 3.28%
1-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 24.57%