International Friendlies
Sep 26, 2026 9.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Robert F. Kennedy Memorial Stadium
  • Justin Ellis 4' goal
  • Cavan Sullivan 23' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Reyna 43' yellowcard
  • Malik Tillman 66' goal
  • Julian Hall 72' goal
  • Sebastian Berhalter 90' goal
  • goal Gianluca Lapadula 15'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena  49'
  • yellowcard Marcos López 65'
  • yellowcard Andrea Sentimenti 65'
  • yellowcard Renzo Garcés 79'

USA vs Peru - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 6, 2026 7.30pm
USA 1 - 2 Germany

Peru

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 9, 2026 3.00am
Peru 1 - 3 Spain

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 60.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.19% and a win for Peru had a probability of 16.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%) , while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (5.58%).

Result

USA 60.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 23.19%
Peru 16.09% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.35% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.49% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 26.51% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 49.14% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 50.86% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 27.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 83.46% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

USA 43.59%
Draw 42.17%
Peru 14.24%

Team To Score First

USA 65.95%
No Goal 7.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Peru 26.32% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 55.77%
Equal 8 12.18%
Under 8 32.05%
Over 9 43.53%
Equal 9 12.24%
Under 9 44.23%
Over 10.5 32.32%
Under 10.5 67.69%

USA Goals

Over 1.5 53.73% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 46.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 26.94% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 73.06% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 11.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 88.92% ▼ (-0.04)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5 49.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 50.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 17.98%
Under 1.5 82.02%
Over 2.5 4.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 95.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.89% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

USA 60.75%
Draw 23.19%
Peru 16.08%
USA
1-0 @ 13.22% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 11.63% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 10.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 60.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.73% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.19%
Peru
0-1 @ 5.58%
1-2 @ 4.34%
0-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.25%
1-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 16.08%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 17, 2018 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field (East Hartford, Connecticut)
  • Joshua Sargent 49' goal
  • Timothy Weah 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 45'
  • yellowcard Christian Cueva 81'
  • goal Edison Flores 87'