Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 18, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Estadio Charrúa

Torque
1 - 2
Progreso

Rak (56')
Brun (36'), Del Prete (50'), Rak (65'), Allende (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gottesman (16'), Peraza (83')
Asconeguy (39'), Gottesman (43'), Sosa (64')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.

Result
Montevideo City TorqueDrawProgreso
32.99%26.07%40.94%
Both teams to score 53.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.05%50.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.18%72.82%
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84%29.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.9%65.1%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42%24.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93%59.07%
Score Analysis
    Montevideo City Torque 32.99%
    Progreso 40.93%
    Draw 26.07%
Montevideo City TorqueDrawProgreso
1-0 @ 8.83%
2-1 @ 7.64%
2-0 @ 5.44%
3-1 @ 3.14%
3-0 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 32.99%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.17%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 10.05%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-2 @ 7.06%
1-3 @ 4.07%
0-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.51%
1-4 @ 1.43%
0-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 40.93%