Rentistas
3 - 1
Villa Espanola

Rodriguez (9', 76' pen.), Villar (61')
Perez (30'), Acevedo (47'), Paiva (83'), Sosa (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Olivera (3')
Ghan (21'), Rios (22'), Olivera (42'), Silva (75'), Tizon (90+2')
Rios (68')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Rentistas and Villa Espanola.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rentistas win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rentistas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Villa Espanola win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rentistas would win this match.

Result
Rentistas	Draw	Villa Espanola
37.29%	26.75%	35.95%

Both teams to score 51.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.65%

53.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.11%

74.89%

Rentistas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32%

27.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.76%

63.23%

Villa Espanola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.52%

28.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.75%

64.24%

Score Analysis

Rentistas 37.29%

Villa Espanola 35.95%

Draw 26.74%

Rentistas	Draw	Villa Espanola
1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.29%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-2 @ 6.22% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.95%