Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jul 12, 2026 10.30pm
Parque Osvaldo Roberto

Racing de Montevideo vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jun 6, 2026 2.00pm
Central Español 1 - 1 Racing

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jun 7, 2026 7.00pm
Cerro 0 - 1 Penarol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 40.29%. A draw has a probability of 31.07% and a win for Racing de Montevideo has a probability of 28.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.04%) and 1-2 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.97%) , while for a Racing de Montevideo win it is 1-0 (11.07%).

Result

Racing de Montevideo 28.64% (+1.04)
Draw 31.07% (+0.25)
Penarol 40.29% (-1.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.01% (-0.46)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.19% (-0.64)
Under 1.5 37.81% (+0.64)
Over 2.5 34.9% (-0.51)
Under 2.5 65.1% (+0.51)
Over 3.5 16.52% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 83.48% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 7.83% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 92.17% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Racing de Montevideo 21.97% (+0.18)
Draw 49.9% (+0.19)
Penarol 28.13% (-0.39)

Team To Score First

Racing de Montevideo 40.16% (-0.38)
No Goal 12.91% (+0.34)
Penarol 46.93% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 51% (-0.76)
Equal 8 12.51% (-0.31)
Under 8 36.49% (+1.07)
Over 9 38.9% (-0.39)
Equal 9 12.1% (-0.39)
Under 9 49% (+0.76)
Over 10.5 28.21% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 71.79% (+0.03)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 1.5 23.3% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 76.7% (-0.58)
Over 2.5 6.5% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 93.5% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 1.48% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 98.52% (-0.11)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 67.98% (-1.07)
Under 0.5 32.02% (+1.07)
Over 1.5 31.9% (-1.20)
Under 1.5 68.1% (+1.19)
Over 2.5 10.88% (-0.63)
Under 2.5 89.12% (+0.64)
Over 3.5 3.13% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 96.87% (+0.24)

Score analysis

Racing de Montevideo 28.64%
Draw 31.07%
Penarol 40.29%
Racing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 11.07% (+0.39)
2-1 @ 6.24% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 5.28% (+0.29)
3-1 @ 2.04% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 1.29% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.25% (+0.08)
Other @ 1.47% (+0.11)
Total : 28.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.97% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 12.91% (+0.34)
2-2 @ 3.74% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 31.07%
Penarol
0-1 @ 13.83% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.04% (-0.38)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.21)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.21)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.12% (-0.23)
Total : 40.29%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 29, 2026 11.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Stiven Muhlethaler 46' yellowcard
  • Facundo Batista 74' yellowcard
  • Jesús Trindade 74' yellowcard
  • Franco González 86' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Olivera   90'+2' goal
  • goal Yuri Oyarzo 42'
  • yellowcard Martín Ferreira 46'
  • goal Álex Vázquez 47'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Sosa  62'
  • yellowcard Facundo González 73'
  • yellowcard Bautista Euclides Tomatis 73'
  • yellowcard Juan Pérez 86'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Aug 31, 2025 10.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 9, 2025 10.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Javier Mendez 20' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Silvera 35' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Perez 51' yellowcard
  • goal Robinson Ferreira 42'
  • yellowcard Lucas Monzon 68'
  • goal Lucas Monzon 74'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Oct 1, 2024 12.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Gaston Ramirez 31' yellowcard
  • Gaston Ramirez 31' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernandez 70' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernandez 70' yellowcard
  • Jaime Baez 77' goal
  • yellowcard Agustin Alaniz 15'
  • yellowcard Agustin Alaniz 15'
  • yellowcard Agustin Pereira 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Agustin Pereira 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Jun 16, 2024 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Gaston Ramirez 42' yellowcard
  • Matheus Babi 51' yellowcard
  • Javier Cabrera 54' goal
  • Leo Coelho 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Agustin Alaniz 44'
  • yellowcard Santiago Mederos 61'
  • goal Dylan Nandin 74'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Odriozola 85'
  • yellowcard Robinson Ferreira 90'+8'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 16, 2024 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Erik De Los Santos 18' yellowcard
  • Jose Varela 63' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Odriozola 68' yellowcard
  • Tomas Veron 72' goal
  • Juan Rivero 83' yellowcard
  • Santiago Mederos 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Lucas Monzon 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Leonardo Sequeira 19'
  • yellowcard Camilo Mayada 34'
  • goal Leonardo Sequeira 39'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Sequeira 66'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Darias 70'