Jul 12, 2026 10.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto

Álex Vázquez 31'
Elías Bentancor 57'
Rodrigo Dudok 59'
Diego Cheuquepal 73'
Martín Ferreira 90'

Maximiliano Olivera 19'
Nicolás Fernández 25'
Leandro Umpiérrez 37'
Abel Hernández 74'

Racing de Montevideo vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions

D
D
D
W
L
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
D
D
W
L
D

Last game

Jun 6, 2026 2.00pm

Central Español 1 - 1 Racing

Penarol

All competitions

W
L
L
W
D
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
L
W
W
W
D

Last game

Jun 7, 2026 7.00pm

Cerro 0 - 1 Penarol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 40.29%. A draw had a probability of 31.07% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 28.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.04%) and 1-2 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.97%) , while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.

Result

Racing de Montevideo 28.64% ▲ (+1.04)

Draw 31.07% ▲ (+0.25)

Penarol 40.29% ▼ (-1.25)

Both Teams to Score:

43.01% ▼ (-0.46)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.19% ▼ (-0.64)

Under 1.5 37.81% ▲ (+0.64)

Over 2.5 34.9% ▼ (-0.51)

Under 2.5 65.1% ▲ (+0.51)

Over 3.5 16.52% ▼ (-0.18)

Under 3.5 83.48% ▲ (+0.19)

Over 4.5 7.83% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 4.5 92.17% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Racing de Montevideo 21.97% ▲ (+0.18)

Draw 49.9% ▲ (+0.19)

Penarol 28.13% ▼ (-0.39)

Team To Score First

Racing de Montevideo 40.16% ▼ (-0.38)

No Goal 12.91% ▲ (+0.34)

Penarol 46.93% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 51% ▼ (-0.76)

Equal 8 12.51% ▼ (-0.31)

Under 8 36.49% ▲ (+1.07)

Over 9 38.9% ▼ (-0.39)

Equal 9 12.1% ▼ (-0.39)

Under 9 49% ▲ (+0.76)

Over 10.5 28.21% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 10.5 71.79% ▲ (+0.03)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 1.5 23.3% ▲ (+0.59)

Under 1.5 76.7% ▼ (-0.58)

Over 2.5 6.5% ▲ (+0.34)

Under 2.5 93.5% ▼ (-0.33)

Over 3.5 1.48% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 3.5 98.52% ▼ (-0.11)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 67.98% ▼ (-1.07)

Under 0.5 32.02% ▲ (+1.07)

Over 1.5 31.9% ▼ (-1.20)

Under 1.5 68.1% ▲ (+1.19)

Over 2.5 10.88% ▼ (-0.63)

Under 2.5 89.12% ▲ (+0.64)

Over 3.5 3.13% ▼ (-0.23)

Under 3.5 96.87% ▲ (+0.24)

Score analysis

Racing de Montevideo 28.64%

Draw 31.07%

Penarol 40.29%

Racing de Montevideo

1-0 @ 11.07% ▲ (+0.39)

2-1 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.07)

2-0 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.29)

3-1 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.13)

3-0 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.03)

3-2 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.08)

Other @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.11)

Total : 28.64%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.97% ▼ (-0.03)

0-0 @ 12.91% ▲ (+0.34)

2-2 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.05)

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 31.07%

Penarol

0-1 @ 13.83% ▼ (-0.02)

0-2 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.38)

1-2 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.21)

1-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.17)

0-3 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.21)

2-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.05)

Other @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.23)

Total : 40.29%

Head to Head

Mar 29, 2026 11.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Stiven Muhlethaler 46'
Facundo Batista 74'
Jesús Trindade 74'
Franco González 86'
Maximiliano Olivera 90'+2'

Yuri Oyarzo 42'
Martín Ferreira 46'
Álex Vázquez 47'
Nicolás Sosa 62'
Facundo González 73'
Bautista Euclides Tomatis 73'
Juan Pérez 86'

Aug 31, 2025 10.00pm

1

4

HT : 0 0

FT

Mar 9, 2025 10.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Javier Mendez 20'
Maximiliano Silvera 35'
Rodrigo Perez 51'

Robinson Ferreira 42'
Lucas Monzon 68'
Lucas Monzon 74'

Oct 1, 2024 12.00am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Gaston Ramirez 31'
Gaston Ramirez 31'
Lucas Hernandez 70'
Lucas Hernandez 70'
Jaime Baez 77'

Agustin Alaniz 15'
Agustin Alaniz 15'
Agustin Pereira 90'+1'
Agustin Pereira 90'+1'

Jun 16, 2024 10.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Gaston Ramirez 42'
Matheus Babi 51'
Javier Cabrera 54'
Leo Coelho 87'

Agustin Alaniz 44'
Santiago Mederos 61'
Dylan Nandin 74'
Rodrigo Odriozola 85'
Robinson Ferreira 90'+8'

Mar 16, 2024 10.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 2

FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto

Erik De Los Santos 18'
Jose Varela 63'
Rodrigo Odriozola 68'
Tomas Veron 72'
Juan Rivero 83'
Santiago Mederos 90'+1'
Lucas Monzon 90'+6'

Leonardo Sequeira 19'
Camilo Mayada 34'
Leonardo Sequeira 39'
Leonardo Sequeira 66'
Eduardo Darias 70'

Form Data

Central Español 1 - 1 Racing

Racing 0 - 0 Defensor

Liverpool 0 - 0 Racing

Racing 1 - 0 Cerro Largo

Central Español 2 - 0 Racing

Racing 1 - 1 Torque

Cerro 0 - 1 Penarol

Penarol 0 - 1 Central Español

Penarol 0 - 1 Santa Fe

Defensor 0 - 2 Penarol

Penarol 1 - 1 Corinthians

Penarol 2 - 1 Liverpool