Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Jun 7, 2026 7.00pm
Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli

Cerro vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 29, 2026 11.30pm
Cerro Largo 2 - 0 Cerro

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jun 2, 2026 12.00am
Penarol 0 - 1 Central Español

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw has a probability of 29.34% and a win for Cerro has a probability of 15.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 0-1 with a probability of 18.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.5%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.23%) , while for a Cerro win it is 1-0 (7.53%).

Result

Cerro 15.02% (+0.34)
Draw 29.34% (+0.47)
Penarol 55.69% (-0.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.87% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 61.04% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 38.96% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 33.37% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 66.63% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 15.15% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 84.85% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 7.81% (-0.21)
Under 4.5 92.19% (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Cerro 14.24% (+0.09)
Draw 48.04% (-0.36)
Penarol 37.72% (+0.29)

Team To Score First

Cerro 25.37% (-0.15)
No Goal 13.23% (+0.17)
Penarol 61.4% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 44.66% (-0.73)
Equal 8 12.97% (+0.14)
Under 8 42.38% (+0.60)
Over 9 32.75% (-0.78)
Equal 9 11.9% (+0.06)
Under 9 55.34% (+0.73)
Over 10.5 22.77% (-0.75)
Under 10.5 77.23% (+0.75)

Cerro Goals

Over 1.5 12.19% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 87.81% (-0.32)
Over 2.5 1.9% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 98.1% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 0.28% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 99.72% (-0.05)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 76.27% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 23.73% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 41.19% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 58.81% (+0.59)
Over 2.5 16.89% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 83.11% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 5.6% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 94.4% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Cerro 15.02%
Draw 29.35%
Penarol 55.67%
Cerro
1-0 @ 7.53% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 3.6% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 2.46% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 15.02%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.23% (+0.17)
1-1 @ 12.71% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 2.94% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.05)
Total : 29.35%
Penarol
0-1 @ 18.24% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 12.5% (-0.15)
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 5.75% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.08)
Other @ 5.51% (-0.24)
Total : 55.67%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Mar 21, 2026 10.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Matías Arezo 18' goal
  • Luis Angulo 26' goal
  • Kevin Rodríguez 46' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Gularte 59' yellowcard
  • Leandro Umpiérrez 59' yellowcard
  • Stiven Muhlethaler 80' yellowcard
  • Facundo Batista 80' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Fernández 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alejandro Severo 27'
  • yellowcard Cristian Barros 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jairo Amaro 46'
  • yellowcard Brahian Alemán 62'
  • yellowcard Santiago Paiva 75'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 25, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Jun 27, 2025 11.00pm
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 27, 2025 10.15pm
0
0
HT : 2 0
Aband. Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Lucas Hernandez 10' goal
  • Maximiliano Silvera 38' goal
  • David Terans 56' goal
  • yellowcard Horacio Salaberry 45'+9'
  • goal Sebastian Camacho 58'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Mathias Cubero Rieta 62'
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 62'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Sep 22, 2024 11.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Agustin Peralta Bauer 30' redcard
  • Emiliano Alvarez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Batista 2'
  • goal Facundo Batista 15'
  • yellowcard Damian Suarez 54'
  • goal Facundo Batista 62'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Rossi 77'
  • goal Matheus Babi 80'
  • goal Matheus Babi 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Mar 9, 2024 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Maximiliano Silvera 3' goal
  • Javier Cabrera 23' yellowcard
  • Guzman Rodriguez 30' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 81' goal
  • Leonardo Fernandez 90' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Gonzalez 23'
  • redcard Ignacio Pallas 33'
  • yellowcard Martin Rabunal 37'
  • yellowcard Brandon Llana 54'
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 69'
  • redcard Martin Gonzalez 78'