Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Cerro
Jun 7, 2026 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
Penarol
  • Matías Ocampo 31' yellowcard
  • Jairo Amaro 79' yellowcard
  • goal Abel Hernández  57'
  • yellowcard Andrés Madruga 88'

Cerro vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 29, 2026 11.30pm
Cerro Largo 2 - 0 Cerro

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jun 2, 2026 12.00am
Penarol 0 - 1 Central Español

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 29.34% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 15.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.5%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.23%) , while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 18.2% likelihood.

Result

Cerro 15.02% ▲ (+0.34)
Draw 29.34% ▲ (+0.47)
Penarol 55.69% ▼ (-0.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.87% ▼ (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 61.04% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 38.96% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 33.37% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 66.63% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 15.15% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 84.85% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 4.5 7.81% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 4.5 92.19% ▲ (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Cerro 14.24% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 48.04% ▼ (-0.36)
Penarol 37.72% ▲ (+0.29)

Team To Score First

Cerro 25.37% ▼ (-0.15)
No Goal 13.23% ▲ (+0.17)
Penarol 61.4% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 44.66% ▼ (-0.73)
Equal 8 12.97% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 8 42.38% ▲ (+0.60)
Over 9 32.75% ▼ (-0.78)
Equal 9 11.9% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 9 55.34% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 10.5 22.77% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 10.5 77.23% ▲ (+0.75)

Cerro Goals

Over 1.5 12.19% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 1.5 87.81% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 2.5 1.9% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 98.1% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 0.28% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 99.72% ▼ (-0.05)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 76.27% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 0.5 23.73% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 1.5 41.19% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 1.5 58.81% ▲ (+0.59)
Over 2.5 16.89% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 2.5 83.11% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 3.5 5.6% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 3.5 94.4% ▲ (+0.19)

Score analysis

Cerro 15.02%
Draw 29.35%
Penarol 55.67%
Cerro
1-0 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.11)
2-1 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 15.02%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.23% ▲ (+0.17)
1-1 @ 12.71% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 29.35%
Penarol
0-1 @ 18.24% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 12.5% ▼ (-0.15)
1-2 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 55.67%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Penarol
Mar 21, 2026 10.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Cerro
  • Matías Arezo 18' goal
  • Luis Angulo 26' goal
  • Kevin Rodríguez 46' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Gularte 59' yellowcard
  • Leandro Umpiérrez 59' yellowcard
  • Stiven Muhlethaler 80' yellowcard
  • Facundo Batista 80' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Fernández 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alejandro Severo 27'
  • yellowcard Cristian Barros 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jairo Amaro 46'
  • yellowcard Brahian Alemán 62'
  • yellowcard Santiago Paiva 75'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Cerro
Oct 25, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Penarol
Jun 27, 2025 11.00pm
Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Penarol
Apr 27, 2025 10.15pm
0
0
HT : 2 0
Aband. Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Cerro
  • Lucas Hernandez 10' goal
  • Maximiliano Silvera 38' goal
  • David Terans 56' goal
  • yellowcard Horacio Salaberry 45'+9'
  • goal Sebastian Camacho 58'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Mathias Cubero Rieta 62'
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 62'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Cerro
Sep 22, 2024 11.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
Penarol
  • Agustin Peralta Bauer 30' redcard
  • Emiliano Alvarez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Batista 2'
  • goal Facundo Batista 15'
  • yellowcard Damian Suarez 54'
  • goal Facundo Batista 62'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Rossi 77'
  • goal Matheus Babi 80'
  • goal Matheus Babi 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Penarol
Mar 9, 2024 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Cerro
  • Maximiliano Silvera 3' goal
  • Javier Cabrera 23' yellowcard
  • Guzman Rodriguez 30' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 81' goal
  • Leonardo Fernandez 90' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Gonzalez 23'
  • redcard Ignacio Pallas 33'
  • yellowcard Martin Rabunal 37'
  • yellowcard Brandon Llana 54'
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 69'
  • redcard Martin Gonzalez 78'

Form Data

Cerro Largo 2 - 0 Cerro
Cerro 1 - 0 Central Español
Boston River 4 - 1 Cerro
Nacional 4 - 0 Cerro
Cerro 0 - 1 Maldonado
Central Español 3 - 1 Cerro
Penarol 0 - 1 Central Español
Penarol 0 - 1 Santa Fe
Defensor 0 - 2 Penarol
Penarol 1 - 1 Corinthians
Penarol 2 - 1 Liverpool
Cerro Largo 2 - 3 Penarol