Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw has a probability of 29.34% and a win for Cerro has a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 0-1 with a probability of 18.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.5%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.23%) , while for a Cerro win it is 1-0 (7.53%).