Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
3
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Cerro Largo vs Cerro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 46.25%. A draw has a probability of 28.05% and a win for Cerro has a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.31%) , while for a Cerro win it is 0-1 (9%).
Result
Cerro Largo
46.25%
▼
(-0.15)
Draw
28.05%
▼
(-0.06)
Cerro
25.7%
▲
(+0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
47.12%
▲
(+0.16)
Goals
Over 1.5
67.61%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
32.39%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 2.5
41.6%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 2.5
58.4%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 3.5
20.72%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 3.5
79.28%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 4.5
10.61%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 4.5
89.39%
▼
(-0.10)
First Half Winner
Cerro Largo
33.33%
▲
(+0.20)
Draw
46.2%
▼
(-0.18)
Cerro
20.47%
▼
(-0.02)
Team To Score First
Cerro Largo
53.37%
▼
(-0.25)
No Goal
9.74%
▼
(-0.09)
Cerro
36.89%
▲
(+0.33)
Corners
Over 8
41.84%
▲
(+0.69)
Equal 8
12.03%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 8
46.13%
▼
(-0.72)
Over 9
31.03%
▲
(+0.59)
Equal 9
10.81%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 9
58.16%
▼
(-0.69)
Over 10.5
22.07%
▲
(+0.45)
Under 10.5
77.93%
▼
(-0.45)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 1.5
38.81%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
61.19%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
15.55%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
84.45%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
4.97%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
95.03%
▼
(-0.02)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5
59.31%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 0.5
40.69%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 1.5
23.91%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 1.5
76.09%
▼
(-0.32)
Over 2.5
6.71%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 2.5
93.29%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 3.5
1.67%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
98.33%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Cerro Largo
46.25%
Draw
28.06%
Cerro
25.69%
Cerro Largo
1-0
@
13.65%
▼
(-0.12)
2-1 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 46.25%
2-1 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 46.25%
Draw
1-1
@
13.31%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.74% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.06%
0-0 @ 9.74% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.06%
Cerro
0-1
@
9%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 25.69%
1-2 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 25.69%
Head to Head
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
11
Apr 11, 2026 12.00am
1
1
HT :
1
0
FT
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
-
Lucas Correa
12'
-
Maximiliano Añasco
70'
-
Sebastián Assís
70'
-
79'
-
Sebastián Assís
79'
-
Gustavo Viera
80'
-
Maximiliano Añasco
80'
-
89'
-
90'
-
Federico Sellecchia
90'
-
Nicolás Bertocchi
90'+1'
-
90'+1'
-
Federico Sellecchia
90'+1'
-
Rodrigo Mederos
45'
-
Rodrigo Mederos
46'
-
Tiago Rijo
68'
-
Rodrigo Mederos
77'
-
Augusto Cambón
77'
-
Augusto Cambón
78'
-
78'
-
Iván Valenzuela
89'
-
90'
-
Alejandro Severo
90'
-
Iván Valenzuela
90'
-
Alejo Macelli
90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
5
-
Emiliano Alvarez
21'
-
Enzo Larrosa
32'
-
Sebastian Caceres
77'
-
Maximo Alonso
89'
-
Nicolas Bertochi
37'
-
Matias Mir
39'
-
Mauricio Affonso
66'
-
Julian Contrera
66'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
6
Mar 17, 2025 10.00pm
0
0
HT :
0
0
FT
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
-
Facundo Peraza
44'
-
Facundo Peraza
49'
-
Facundo Silvestre
61'
-
Federico Ezequiel Acosta Fasini
88'
-
Facundo Silvestre
88'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
5
Sep 28, 2024 7.00pm
3
1
HT :
2
1
FT
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
-
Sebastian Sosa
4'
-
Brian Ferrares
45'
-
Gonzalo German Cordoba
45'+2'
-
Nicolas Wunsch
84'
-
Sebastian Sosa
90'+5'
-
Martin Rabunal
43'
-
Alejo Macelli
50'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
5
-
Santiago Ramirez
57'
-
Martin Gonzalez
58'
-
Alejo Macelli
71'
-
Mathias Abero
90'+4'
-
Alfonso de Luca Ibargoyen
8'
-
Alan Garcia
29'
-
Brian Ferrares
76'