Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 46.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.05% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%) , while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.