Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 29.77% and a win for Central Español had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.91%) , while for a Central Español win it was 1-0 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood.