Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Nov 15, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino
Montevideo Wanderers

Progreso
3 - 1
Wanderers

Rodriguez (21'), Bentaberry (27'), Colman (61')
Rodriguez (62'), Andrada (68'), Romero (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Riolfo (12')
Riolfo (56'), Hernandez (71'), Wagner (84')
Hernandez (90+2')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Montevideo Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawMontevideo Wanderers
37.75%28.71%33.54%
Both teams to score 45.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.08%60.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.07%80.93%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88%31.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.56%67.44%
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.14%33.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.48%70.52%
Score Analysis
    Progreso 37.74%
    Montevideo Wanderers 33.53%
    Draw 28.7%
ProgresoDrawMontevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 12.29%
2-1 @ 7.78%
2-0 @ 7.18%
3-1 @ 3.03%
3-0 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 37.74%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.7%
0-1 @ 11.4%
1-2 @ 7.21%
0-2 @ 6.18%
1-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 33.53%