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Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Mar 6, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol
2 - 0
River Plate
Britos (38'), A (48')
Gonzalez (22'), Britos (52'), Acosta (74'), Piquerez (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Calzada (63'), Montiel (66'), Salaberry (71'), Neris (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 45.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 26.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawRiver Plate
45.97%27.07%26.96%
Both teams to score 47.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.72%57.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.88%78.12%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.12%24.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.51%59.49%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.11%36.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.32%73.68%
Score Analysis
    Penarol 45.97%
    River Plate 26.96%
    Draw 27.07%
PenarolDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 12.76%
2-0 @ 8.88%
2-1 @ 8.86%
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.43%
4-1 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 45.97%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 9.18%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 9.15%
1-2 @ 6.35%
0-2 @ 4.56%
1-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 26.96%

Head to Head
Oct 17, 2020 10pm
Penarol
1-2
River Plate
Britos (66')
Nunez (8')
Nunez (38')
Neris (19', 36')
Vicente (41'), Salaberry (52'), Rodriguez (65')
Sep 9, 2020 7.15pm
Gameweek 11
River Plate
0-0
Penarol
Viera (6'), Salaberry (24'), Muscarelli (59'), Ospitaleche (79')
Abascal (14'), Rodriguez (86')
Nov 9, 2019 10pm
Penarol
1-0
River Plate
Rodriguez (87' pen.)
Trindade (53'), Rojas (73')

Fernandez (45'), Rodriguez (50')
Rodriguez (51')
Aug 24, 2019 7pm
River Plate
1-0
Penarol
Arezo (31')
Viera (43'), Fernandez (62'), Olveira (73')
May 4, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 11
River Plate
0-2
Penarol

Calzada (12'), Da Luz (32'), Piriz (79'), Ospitaleche (82')
Lema (3'), Fernandez (38')
Trindade (69'), Lores (77')
rhs 2.0
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