Penarol

1 - 1

Maldonado

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.