Jul 18, 2026 8.00pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Eduardo Darias 40'
Cristian Jaime 63'
Lucas Ferreira 81'
Franco Romero 90'+1'
Lucas Ferreira 90'+3'

Francisco Bonfiglio 37'
Martín González 41'
Facundo Agustin Aristegui Lemos 50'
Rodrigo Saravia 80'
Juan Acosta 85'
Agustín Aguirre 88'

Penarol vs Boston River - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions

D
W
L
L
W
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
W
L
W
W
W

Last game

Jul 12, 2026 10.30pm

Racing 1 - 1 Penarol

Boston River

All competitions

D
D
L
L
L
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
D
L
L
W
L

Last game

Jul 12, 2026 7.00pm

Boston River 0 - 0 Central Español

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.08% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 18.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (10.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%) , while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Penarol 56.79% ▲ (+0.05)

Draw 25.08% ▲ (+0.04)

Boston River 18.12% ▼ (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score:

46.06% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.51% ▼ (-0.12)

Under 1.5 30.49% ▲ (+0.12)

Over 2.5 43.48% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 2.5 56.52% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 3.5 22.55% ▼ (-0.17)

Under 3.5 77.45% ▲ (+0.18)

Over 4.5 12.22% ▼ (-0.12)

Under 4.5 87.78% ▲ (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Penarol 39.27% ▼ (-0.13)

Draw 45.6% ▲ (+0.22)

Boston River 15.13% ▼ (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Penarol 62.17% ▼ (-0.15)

No Goal 8.75% ▲ (+0.03)

Boston River 29.08% ▲ (+0.12)

Corners

Over 8 56.24% ▲ (+0.11)

Equal 8 12.09%

Under 8 31.67% ▼ (-0.11)

Over 9 44.05% ▲ (+0.10)

Equal 9 12.19% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 9 43.76% ▼ (-0.11)

Over 10.5 32.83% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 10.5 67.17% ▼ (-0.07)

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 47.59% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 1.5 52.41% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 2.5 20.85% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 79.15% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 3.5 7.37% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 3.5 92.63% ▲ (+0.04)

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5 52.05% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 0.5 47.95% ▲ (+0.09)

Over 1.5 17.88% ▼ (-0.16)

Under 1.5 82.12% ▲ (+0.16)

Over 2.5 4.44% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 2.5 95.56% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 3.5 0.97% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 3.5 99.03% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Penarol 56.78%

Draw 25.1%

Boston River 18.11%

Penarol

1-0 @ 14.78% ▲ (+0.09)

2-0 @ 11.44% ▼ (-0.06)

2-1 @ 10.22% ▲ (+0.05)

3-0 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.05)

3-1 @ 5.11%

3-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.04)

Other @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.05)

Total : 56.78%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.89% ▲ (+0.05)

0-0 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.03)

2-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 25.1%

Boston River

0-1 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 4.53%

0-2 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.05)

1-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.04)

2-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.96% ▼ (-0.04)

Total : 18.11%

Head to Head

Mar 25, 2026 11.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Parque José Nasazzi

Alexander González 41'
Yair González 46'
Franco Pérez 46'
Franco Pérez 51'
Yair González 52'
Francisco Bonfiglio 61'
Facundo Muñoa 74'
Leandro Suhr 74'

Eduardo Darias 7'
Gastón Togni 46'
Matías Arezo 60'
Kevin Rodríguez 60'
Matías González 78'
Matías Arezo 80'

Feb 15, 2025 10.30pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Eric Remedi 45'+1'
Javier Cabrera 48'

Mauricio Vera 29'
Valentin Adamo 51'
Agustin Anello 90'+3'

Oct 19, 2024 11.30pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Felipe Avenatti 7'
Rodrigo Perez 65'
Nahuel Herrera 66'
Leonardo Fernandez 69'
Leo Coelho 73'

Apr 20, 2024 7.00pm

1

3

HT : 1 2

FT Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas

Emiliano Gomez 30'
Emanuel Beltran 37'
Juan Gutierrez 40'
Leonard Costa 54'
Franco Perez 85'
Martin Fernandez 88'
Juan Acosta 88'

Leonardo Sequeira 13'
Leonardo Sequeira 17'
Maximiliano Silvera 46'
Guzman Rodriguez 50'
Diego Sosa 85'

Sep 2, 2023 7.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas

Martin Fernandez 10'
Juan Gutierrez 33'
Matias Zunino 84'
Matias Zunino 90'+4'
Jose Alexander Riasco Brizuela 90'+5'
Jose Alexander Riasco Brizuela 90'+5'

Matias Arezo 2'
Matias Arezo 52'
Ignacio Sosa 83'

Jul 16, 2023 7.00pm

2

1

HT : 3 0

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Abel Hernandez 3'
Abel Hernandez 11'
Abel Hernandez 12'

Gian Franco Allala 51'

Form Data

Racing 1 - 1 Penarol

Cerro 0 - 1 Penarol

Penarol 0 - 1 Central Español

Penarol 0 - 1 Santa Fe

Defensor 0 - 2 Penarol

Penarol 1 - 1 Corinthians

Boston River 0 - 0 Central Español

Defensor 1 - 1 Boston River

Boston River 0 - 1 Liverpool

Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Boston River

Cerro Largo 3 - 0 Boston River

Boston River 3 - 2 O'Higgins