Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jul 12, 2026 7.00pm
Parque José Nasazzi

Boston River vs Central Español - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston River

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jun 7, 2026 10.30pm
Defensor 1 - 1 Boston River

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jun 6, 2026 2.00pm
Central Español 1 - 1 Racing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Boston River win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Central Español has a probability of 32.53% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Central Español win is 0-1 (10.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.08%).

Result

Boston River 40.37% (+0.85)
Draw 27.1% (+0.31)
Central Español 32.53% (-1.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.09% (-0.62)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.67% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 32.33% (+0.65)
Over 2.5 41.79% (-1.06)
Under 2.5 58.21% (+1.06)
Over 3.5 20.7% (-0.66)
Under 3.5 79.3% (+0.65)
Over 4.5 10.6% (-0.34)
Under 4.5 89.4% (+0.35)

First Half Winner

Boston River 28.78% (+0.24)
Draw 47.81% (-0.13)
Central Español 23.41% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Boston River 48.37% (+0.49)
No Goal 9.5% (+0.32)
Central Español 42.13% (-0.80)

Corners

Over 8 53.7% (-0.30)
Equal 8 11.57% (-0.05)
Under 8 34.73% (+0.36)
Over 9 42.28% (-0.23)
Equal 9 11.42% (-0.09)
Under 9 46.3% (+0.30)
Over 10.5 31.91% (-0.14)
Under 10.5 68.09% (+0.15)

Boston River Goals

Over 1.5 34.77% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 65.23% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 12.8%
Under 2.5 87.2%
Over 3.5 3.78% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.22% (-0.02)

Central Español Goals

Over 0.5 64.6% (-1.06)
Under 0.5 35.4% (+1.05)
Over 1.5 28.45% (-1.25)
Under 1.5 71.55% (+1.25)
Over 2.5 8.88% (-0.72)
Under 2.5 91.12% (+0.72)
Over 3.5 2.38% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 97.62% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Boston River 40.36%
Draw 27.11%
Central Español 32.53%
Boston River
1-0 @ 11.94% (+0.42)
2-1 @ 8.72% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.26% (+0.32)
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.93% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.28% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.77% (+0.03)
Total : 40.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.08% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 9.5% (+0.32)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.11%
Central Español
0-1 @ 10.89% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.34)
0-2 @ 5.54% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.19)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.37% (-0.22)
Total : 32.53%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
May 3, 2026 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parque José Nasazzi
  • Facundo Muñoa 12' goal
  • Facundo Muñoa 51' goal
  • Alexander González 65' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Reyna 65' yellowcard
  • Gastón Ramírez 75' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Fernandez 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Pino 56'
  • yellowcard Diego Vera 56'
  • yellowcard Facundo Yocco 66'
  • goal Lucas Pino 68'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cantera 74'