Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
7
Nacional vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw has a probability of 25.27% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.84%) , while for a Progreso win it is 0-1 (7.38%).
Result
Nacional
58.11%
▲
(+0.90)
Draw
25.27%
▼
(-0.20)
Progreso
16.62%
▼
(-0.70)
Both Teams to Score:
42.28%
▼
(-0.66)
Goals
Over 1.5
66.74%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 1.5
33.26%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 2.5
39.56%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 2.5
60.44%
▲
(+0.61)
Over 3.5
19.95%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 3.5
80.05%
▲
(+0.44)
Over 4.5
10.69%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 4.5
89.31%
▲
(+0.16)
First Half Winner
Nacional
39.29%
▼
(-0.32)
Draw
45.55%
▲
(+0.34)
Progreso
15.16%
▼
(-0.03)
Team To Score First
Nacional
63.16%
No Goal
9.68%
▲
(+0.17)
Progreso
27.16%
▼
(-0.17)
Corners
Over 8
54.7%
▲
(+0.61)
Equal 8
11.95%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 8
33.35%
▼
(-0.66)
Over 9
42.82%
▲
(+0.50)
Equal 9
11.87%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 9
45.3%
▼
(-0.61)
Over 10.5
32.01%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 10.5
67.99%
▼
(-0.38)
Nacional Goals
Over 1.5
46.46%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 1.5
53.54%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 2.5
19.97%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
80.03%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 3.5
6.9%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
93.1%
▼
(-0.11)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5
48.74%
▼
(-1.16)
Under 0.5
51.26%
▲
(+1.16)
Over 1.5
15.05%
▼
(-0.92)
Under 1.5
84.95%
▲
(+0.93)
Over 2.5
2.97%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 2.5
97.03%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 3.5
0.63%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
99.37%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Nacional
58.11%
Draw
25.27%
Progreso
16.63%
Nacional
1-0
@
16.21%
▲
(+0.38)
2-0 @ 12.66% ▲ (+0.34)
2-1 @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 58.11%
2-0 @ 12.66% ▲ (+0.34)
2-1 @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 58.11%
Draw
1-1
@
11.84%
▼
(-0.11)
0-0 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.27%
0-0 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.27%
Progreso
0-1
@
7.38%
▼
(-0.07)
1-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.23)
0-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.62% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 16.63%
1-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.23)
0-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.62% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 16.63%
Head to Head
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
3
-
Nicolás Fernández
46'
-
Matteo Copelotti
79'
-
Juan Rivero
85'
-
Gonzalo Silva
85'
-
Ignacio Lemmo
90'
-
Julián Millán
45'+3'
-
Baltasar Barcia
69'
-
Nicolás Lodeiro
69'
-
Nicolás López
83'
-
Agustín Dos Santos
83'
-
Gonzalo Carneiro
90'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
1
-
Lucas Morales
9'
-
Lucas Morales
9'
-
Eduardo Vargas
27'
-
Eduardo Vargas
27'
-
Diego Romero
41'
-
Diego Romero
41'
-
Gianfranco Trasante
71'
-
Gianfranco Trasante
71'
-
Christian Oliva
90'
-
Christian Oliva
90'
-
Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales
41'
-
Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales
41'
-
Nicolas Olivera
81'
-
Nicolas Olivera
81'
-
Alejandro Garcia
82'
-
Alejandro Garcia
82'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
3
-
Gonzalo Jorge Alberto Silva
25'
-
Carlos Alberto Ordonez Esterilla
47'
-
Nicolas Fernandez
52'
-
Nicolas Fernandez
52'
-
Adrian Colombino
53'
-
Facundo Silvera
55'
-
Nicolas Gonzalez
67'
-
Agustin Pinheiro Goggia
81'
-
Jeremia Recoba
11'
-
Jeremia Recoba
11'
-
Diego Herazo
17'
-
Diego Herazo
17'
-
Nicolas Lopez
36'
-
Nicolas Lopez
36'
-
Julian Millan
41'
-
Nicolas Lopez
49'
-
Christian Oliva
55'
-
Nicolas Lopez
63'
-
Nicolas Lopez
63'
-
Bruno Gustavo Arady Mata
84'
-
Bruno Gustavo Arady Mata
84'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
5
-
Gustavo Alles
18'
-
Gustavo Alles
18'
-
Danilo Asconeguy
33'
-
Danilo Asconeguy
33'
-
Jorge Gonzalez
60'
-
Jorge Gonzalez
60'
-
Ignacio Lemmo
78'
-
Ignacio Lemmo
78'
-
Gonzalo Castillo
81'
-
Gonzalo Castillo
81'
-
Alexis Castro
12'
-
Alexis Castro
12'
-
Ruben Bentancourt
13'
-
Ruben Bentancourt
13'
-
Sebastian Coates
45'+2'
-
Sebastian Coates
45'+2'
-
Exequiel Mereles de la Quintana
60'
-
Exequiel Mereles de la Quintana
60'
-
Jeremia Recoba
66'
-
Jeremia Recoba
66'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
5
-
Erik De Los Santos
19'
-
Erik De Los Santos
19'
-
Erik De Los Santos
19'
-
Jose Varela
63'
-
Jose Varela
63'
-
Jose Varela
63'
-
Tomas Veron
72'
-
Tomas Veron
72'
-
Tomas Veron
72'
-
Tomas Veron
72'
-
Diego Zabala
72'
-
Juan Rivero
83'
-
Juan Rivero
83'
-
Juan Rivero
83'
-
Federico Santander
89'
-
Tomas Veron
90'+1'
-
Tomas Veron
90'+1'
-
Tomas Veron
90'+1'
-
Lucas Monzon
90'+6'
-
Lucas Monzon
90'+6'
-
Lucas Monzon
90'+6'
-
Diego Polenta
90'+7'
-
Maximiliano Viera
18'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
20'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
20'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
20'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
20'
-
Martin Marta
31'
-
Camilo Mayada
35'
-
Camilo Mayada
35'
-
Camilo Mayada
35'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
40'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
40'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
40'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
40'
-
Gaston Colman
60'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
66'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
66'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
66'
-
Eduardo Darias
70'
-
Eduardo Darias
70'
-
Eduardo Darias
70'
-
Ignacio Lemmo
87'
-
Alex Silva
89'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
2
-
Diego Rodriguez
52'
-
Brian Ocampo
60'
-
Diego Polenta
89'
-
Leandro Fernandez
90'+4'
-
Luciano Olaizola
4'
-
Danilo Asconeguy
45'
-
Gaston Colman
57'
-
Gonzalo Andrada
64'
-
Joaquin Gottesman
90'+4'