Copa Sudamericana
Jul 28, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio José Dellagiovanna

Tigre vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigre

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 11.00pm
Nacional 0 - 3 Tigre

Nacional

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 11.00pm
Nacional 0 - 3 Tigre

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tigre win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 29.44% and a draw has a probability of 28.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (10.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.05%).

Result

Tigre 41.85% (-0.16)
Draw 28.71% (-0.03)
Nacional 29.44% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.67% (+0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.34% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 33.66% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 39.85% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 60.15% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 19.94% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 80.06% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 10.3% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 89.7% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Tigre 28.24%
Draw 47%
Nacional 24.76%

Team To Score First

Tigre 50.41% (+0.07)
No Goal 10.79% (-0.12)
Nacional 38.8% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 53.68%
Equal 8 12.06%
Under 8 34.26%
Over 9 41.78%
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 46.32%
Over 10.5 31.01%
Under 10.5 68.99%

Tigre Goals

Over 1.5 35.35%
Under 1.5 64.65%
Over 2.5 13.35%
Under 2.5 86.65%
Over 3.5 4.06%
Under 3.5 95.94%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 60.68% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 39.32% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 25.93% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 74.07% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 8.54% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 91.46% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 2.57% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.43% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Tigre 41.84%
Draw 28.7%
Nacional 29.45%
Tigre
1-0 @ 12.73% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.18% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 1.75% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 41.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.05% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 10.79% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.1% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 28.7%
Nacional
0-1 @ 10.13% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.44% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.1% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.15% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.79% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.38% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.46% (+0.03)
Total : 29.45%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Jul 21, 2026 11.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Bruno Zuculini 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Bruno Zuculini 49' redcard
  • goal Jalil Elías 2'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Martínez 32'
  • yellowcard Santiago López 38'
  • goal Ignacio Russo 45'+4'
  • goal Elías Cabrera 90'