Copa Sudamericana
Jul 28, 2026 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio José Dellagiovanna
  • Ignacio Russo 71' yellowcard
  • Santiago López 82' goal
  • Santiago López 83' yellowcard
  • Tiago Serrago 90' yellowcard
  • goal Maxi Gómez 11'
  • goal Maximiliano Silvera  31'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodríguez 51'
  • yellowcard Agustín Dos Santos 56'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Ancheta 73'
  • yellowcard Maxi Gómez 89'

Tigre vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigre

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 11.00pm
Nacional 0 - 3 Tigre

Nacional

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 11.00pm
Nacional 0 - 3 Tigre

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Tigre 41.85%
Draw 28.71%
Nacional 29.47% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.65% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.29% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 33.71% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 39.8% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 60.2% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 19.94%
Under 3.5 80.07% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 10.29% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 89.71% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Tigre 28.38% (+0.15)
Draw 46.93% (-0.08)
Nacional 24.7% (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Tigre 50.36% (-0.05)
No Goal 10.82% (+0.04)
Nacional 38.82% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 53.68%
Equal 8 12.06%
Under 8 34.26%
Over 9 41.78%
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 46.32%
Over 10.5 31.01%
Under 10.5 68.99%

Tigre Goals

Over 1.5 35.32% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.68% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.33% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86.67% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.05% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.95% (+0.02)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 60.66% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 39.34% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 25.92% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 74.08% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.53% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.47% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.57%
Under 3.5 97.43%

Score analysis

Tigre 41.85%
Draw 28.72%
Nacional 29.45%
Tigre
1-0 @ 12.77% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.34%
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 1.75%
Other @ 3.94% (-0.02)
Total : 41.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.04% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 10.82% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 28.72%
Nacional
0-1 @ 10.14% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.11% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 29.45%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Jul 21, 2026 11.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Bruno Zuculini 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Bruno Zuculini 49' redcard
  • goal Jalil Elías 2'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Martínez 32'
  • yellowcard Santiago López 38'
  • goal Ignacio Russo 45'+4'
  • goal Elías Cabrera 90'