Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
5
-
Sebastián Rodríguez
35'
-
Mateo Rinaldi
43'
-
Emiliano Velázquez
75'
-
Mateo Rinaldi
90'+6'
-
Agustín Rogel
10'
-
Camilo Cándido
57'
Danubio vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (9.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result
Danubio
33.94%
▲
(+1.06)
Draw
27.65%
▼
(-0.34)
Nacional
38.46%
▼
(-0.68)
Both Teams to Score:
52.78%
▲
(+0.79)
Goals
Over 1.5
72.48%
▲
(+0.93)
Under 1.5
27.52%
▼
(-0.93)
Over 2.5
47.2%
▲
(+1.15)
Under 2.5
52.8%
▼
(-1.15)
Over 3.5
25.11%
▲
(+1.09)
Under 3.5
74.89%
▼
(-1.10)
Over 4.5
13.03%
▲
(+0.75)
Under 4.5
86.97%
▼
(-0.75)
First Half Winner
Danubio
25.22%
▲
(+0.46)
Draw
44.56%
▼
(-0.25)
Nacional
30.21%
▼
(-0.24)
Team To Score First
Danubio
41.13%
▲
(+0.63)
No Goal
8.04%
▼
(-0.36)
Nacional
50.83%
▼
(-0.28)
Corners
Over 8
58.02%
▲
(+0.06)
Equal 8
11.68%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 8
30.29%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 9
46.09%
▲
(+0.06)
Equal 9
11.94%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 9
41.98%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 10.5
34.92%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 10.5
65.08%
▼
(-0.02)
Danubio Goals
Over 1.5
33.36%
▲
(+1.45)
Under 1.5
66.64%
▼
(-1.46)
Over 2.5
11.77%
▲
(+1.00)
Under 2.5
88.23%
▼
(-0.99)
Over 3.5
3.35%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 3.5
96.65%
▼
(-0.42)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
71.43%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
28.57%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
36.79%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 1.5
63.21%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 2.5
14.22%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
85.78%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
4.47%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
95.53%
▼
(-0.10)
Score analysis
Danubio
33.93%
Draw
27.66%
Nacional
38.47%
Danubio
1-0
@
9.36%
▼
(-0.15)
2-1 @ 8.24% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.22)
3-0 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.38)
Total : 33.93%
2-1 @ 8.24% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.22)
3-0 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.38)
Total : 33.93%
Draw
1-1
@
13.13%
▼
(-0.21)
0-0 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.36)
2-2 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 27.66%
0-0 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.36)
2-2 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 27.66%
Nacional
0-1
@
10.18%
▼
(-0.39)
1-2 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.19)
1-3 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 38.47%
1-2 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.19)
1-3 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 38.47%
Head to Head
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
13
-
Agustín Dos Santos
46'
-
Tomás Verón Lupi
66'
-
66'
-
Agustín Rogel
68'
-
Rodrigo Martínez
83'
-
Exequiel Mereles
88'
-
Juan Pintado
88'
-
Joaquín Pereyra
39'
-
Mateo Peralta
56'
-
Enzo Cabrera
66'
-
66'
-
Nicolas Azambuja
66'
-
Martín Jourdan
74'
-
Enrique Femia
74'
-
Enzo Cabrera
76'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
11
-
Luciano Boggio
57'
-
Sebastian Coates
66'
-
Jeremia Recoba
73'
-
Nicolas Lopez
80'
-
Gabriel Baez
86'
-
Santiago Romero
31'
-
Joaquin Fernandez
53'
-
Ignacio Pintos
64'
-
Matias Gonzalez
66'
-
Sebastian Fernandez
79'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
14
-
Santiago Etchebarne
29'
-
Santiago Etchebarne
29'
-
Alexis Castro
14'
-
Alexis Castro
14'
-
Christian Oliva
81'
-
Diego Polenta
81'
-
Christian Oliva
81'
-
Diego Polenta
81'
-
Lucas Sanabria
88'
-
Lucas Sanabria
88'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
5
-
Santiago Etchebarne
31'
-
Alexis Castro
24'
-
Diego Zabala
35'
-
Antonio Galeano
38'
-
Gabriel Baez
51'
-
Antonio Galeano
88'
-
Antonio Galeano
88'
-
Felipe Cairus
90'+2'
-
Gonzalo Petit Abad
90'+6'