Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jul 11, 2026 7.00pm
Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo

Danubio vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jul 5, 2026 6.00pm
Danubio 1 - 1 Juventud

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jun 6, 2026 10.30pm
Nacional 2 - 1 Juventud

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Danubio has a probability of 32.88% and a draw has a probability of 27.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Danubio win is 1-0 (9.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.34%).

Result

Danubio 32.88% (-0.01)
Draw 27.98% (+0.02)
Nacional 39.13% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.56% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 28.44% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 46.06% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 53.94% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 24.02% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 75.98% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 12.28%
Under 4.5 87.72%

First Half Winner

Danubio 24.76%
Draw 44.81% (-0.01)
Nacional 30.44% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Danubio 40.51%
No Goal 8.39%
Nacional 51.1%

Corners

Over 8 57.97% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.67%
Under 8 30.36%
Over 9 46.04%
Equal 9 11.92%
Under 9 42.03% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 34.9%
Under 10.5 65.1%

Danubio Goals

Over 1.5 31.91% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.09% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 10.78% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.22% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.93%
Under 3.5 97.07%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 71.52% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.48% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 36.67% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.33% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 14.12%
Under 2.5 85.88%
Over 3.5 4.38%
Under 3.5 95.62%

Score analysis

Danubio 32.89%
Draw 27.98%
Nacional 39.14%
Danubio
1-0 @ 9.5% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 5.47% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87%
3-0 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 32.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.34% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.39%
2-2 @ 5.31%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 27.98%
Nacional
0-1 @ 10.56% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.71%
0-2 @ 6.69%
1-3 @ 3.56%
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 39.14%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 25, 2026 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Agustín Dos Santos 46' yellowcard
  • Tomás Verón Lupi 66' yellowcard
  • 66' yellowcard
  • Agustín Rogel 68' goal
  • Rodrigo Martínez 83' yellowcard
  • Exequiel Mereles 88' yellowcard
  • Juan Pintado 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joaquín Pereyra 39'
  • goal Mateo Peralta 56'
  • yellowcard Enzo Cabrera 66'
  • yellowcard 66'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Azambuja 66'
  • yellowcard Martín Jourdan 74'
  • yellowcard Enrique Femia 74'
  • goal Enzo Cabrera 76'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 12, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Jun 27, 2025 11.00pm
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Apr 13, 2025 9.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Luciano Boggio 57' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 66' yellowcard
  • Jeremia Recoba 73' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 80' goal
  • Gabriel Baez 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Romero 31'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Fernandez 53'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Pintos 64'
  • yellowcard Matias Gonzalez 66'
  • redcard Sebastian Fernandez 79'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
Nov 28, 2024 12.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Santiago Etchebarne 29' yellowcard
  • Santiago Etchebarne 29' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 14'
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 14'
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 81'
  • yellowcard Diego Polenta 81'
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 81'
  • yellowcard Diego Polenta 81'
  • yellowcard Lucas Sanabria 88'
  • yellowcard Lucas Sanabria 88'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jul 13, 2024 7.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Santiago Etchebarne 31' yellowcard
  • goal Alexis Castro 24'
  • goal Diego Zabala 35'
  • goal Antonio Galeano 38'
  • goal Gabriel Baez 51'
  • goal Antonio Galeano 88'
  • yellowcard Antonio Galeano 88'
  • yellowcard Felipe Cairus 90'+2'
  • goal Gonzalo Petit Abad 90'+6'