Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
May 30, 2026 7.00pm
Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo

Danubio vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 24, 2026 1.00am
Danubio 0 - 0 Juventud

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 23, 2026 2.00pm
Progreso 1 - 2 Torque

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Danubio win with a probability of 49.7%. A draw has a probability of 27.77% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.93%) , while for a Progreso win it is 0-1 (9.24%).

Result

Danubio 49.7% (+0.02)
Draw 27.77%
Progreso 22.53% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.35%

Goals

Over 1.5 64.49% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 35.51% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 37.83%
Under 2.5 62.17%
Over 3.5 18.33% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 81.62% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 9.31% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 90.69% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Danubio 36.22% (+0.08)
Draw 45.64% (-0.08)
Progreso 18.14% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Danubio 54.51% (-0.02)
No Goal 10.83%
Progreso 34.66% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.54% (-0.03)
Equal 8 12.72%
Under 8 36.74% (+0.04)
Over 9 38.28% (-0.02)
Equal 9 12.26%
Under 9 49.46% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 27.51% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 72.49% (+0.01)

Danubio Goals

Over 1.5 39.45% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 60.55% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 15.36% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.64% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.75% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.25% (+0.02)

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 54.49% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 45.51% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 19.25%
Under 1.5 80.75%
Over 2.5 4.93%
Under 2.5 95.07%
Over 3.5 1.1% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.9% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Danubio 49.71%
Draw 27.78%
Progreso 22.53%
Danubio
1-0 @ 15.46% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 10.15% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.1% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.74% (-0.01)
Total : 49.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 10.83%
2-2 @ 3.66%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.78%
Progreso
0-1 @ 9.24% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.16% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.09% (-0.02)
Total : 22.53%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 28, 2026 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
  • Enzo Cabrera 15' goal
  • Ivo Costantino 68' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Fernández 70' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Fernández 75' goal
  • Enrique Femia 80' yellowcard
  • Damina Garcia 80' yellowcard
  • Mateo Rinaldi 80' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Viera 36'
  • yellowcard Matteo Copelotti 68'
  • yellowcard Gianfranco Trasante 68'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Fernández 68'
  • yellowcard Adrián Colombino 74'
  • goal Ivo Costantino 90'+4' (OG)
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
May 31, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Adrian Colombino 34' yellowcard
  • Agustin Pinheiro Goggia 78' yellowcard
  • Gianfranco Trasante 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateo Arguello 31'
  • goal Lucas Sanseviero 74'
  • yellowcard Mateo Peralta 82'
  • yellowcard Renzo Rabino 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 23, 2025 12.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Mario Risso 17' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Velazquez 90'+4' goal
  • Emiliano Velazquez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Fernandez 20'
  • yellowcard Facundo Silvera 41'
  • goal Maximiliano Viera 53'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Jorge Alberto Silva 54'
  • yellowcard Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales 78'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Oct 12, 2024 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
  • Adrian Colombino 18' yellowcard
  • Danilo Asconeguy 54' yellowcard
  • Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Gaston Colman 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Fracchia 6'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Ancheta 76'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Fratta 89'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Apr 6, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Ramiro Brazionis 12' goal
  • Santiago Romero 62' yellowcard
  • Diego Piriz 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Silvera 30'
  • yellowcard Adrian Colombino 77'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Andrada 86'
  • yellowcard Jorge Gonzalez 90'
  • goal Joel Poiso 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Feb 15, 2021 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Santiago Mederos 37' yellowcard
  • 79' yellowcard
  • Lucas Monzon 79' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • Jose Luis Rodriguez 90' yellowcard
  • Matias Fritzler 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Fabricio Fernandez 42'
  • yellowcard Danilo Asconeguy 74'
  • yellowcard Federico Platero 83'
  • yellowcard Facundo Peraza 84'