Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Danubio win with a probability of 49.7%. A draw has a probability of 27.77% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.93%) , while for a Progreso win it is 0-1 (9.24%).