Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Wanderers
Jun 5, 2026 11.00pm
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
Danubio

Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 31, 2026 7.00pm
Juventud 2 - 5 Wanderers

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 30, 2026 7.00pm
Danubio 1 - 2 Progreso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Danubio win with a probability of 35.5%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers has a probability of 34.99% and a draw has a probability of 29.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win is 1-0 (12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.75%).

Result

Montevideo Wanderers 34.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 29.46%
Danubio 35.5% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.33%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.06%
Under 1.5 34.94%
Over 2.5 38.57% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 61.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 18.64% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 81.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 9.01% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 90.99% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Montevideo Wanderers 26.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 49.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Danubio 24.42%

Team To Score First

Montevideo Wanderers 44.57% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 10.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Danubio 44.64% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 48.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 8 12.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 39.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 36.47% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.61%
Under 9 51.92% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 10.5 26.41% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 10.5 73.59% ▼ (-0.05)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 29.67% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 70.33% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 9.41% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 90.59% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.55% ▼ (-0.02)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 66.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 33.95% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.9%
Under 1.5 70.1%
Over 2.5 10.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.33% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 34.98%
Draw 29.46%
Danubio 35.51%
Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 12% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.68%
2-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 34.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.75% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 10.79% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.46%
Danubio
0-1 @ 12.1% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 35.51%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Wanderers
Mar 21, 2026 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
Danubio
  • Leandro Zazpe 45'+1' goal
  • Jonás Luna 46' yellowcard
  • Jonás Luna 58' goal
  • Alan García 74' yellowcard
  • Facundo Labandeira 80' yellowcard
  • 80' yellowcard
  • Mateo Acosta 88' yellowcard
  • Facundo Labandeira 88' yellowcard
  • goal Mateo Peralta 24'
  • yellowcard Ivo Costantino 68'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Pereyra 78'
  • yellowcard Facundo Balatti 78'
  • yellowcard Axel Montaña 78'
  • yellowcard 88'
  • yellowcard Enrique Femia 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Wanderers
Sep 6, 2025 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Danubio
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Danubio
Mar 16, 2025 12.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
Wanderers
  • Sebastian Fernandez 21' goal
  • Santiago Romero 50' goal
  • Joaquin Fernandez 60' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Fernandez 60' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Perg 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Esteban Crucci 8'
  • yellowcard Leandro Zazpe 48'
  • goal Rodrigo Rivero 65'
  • yellowcard Christian Franco 74'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Wanderers
Sep 29, 2024 12.00am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
Danubio
  • Matias Fonseca 17' yellowcard
  • Matias Fonseca 17' yellowcard
  • Kevin Rolon 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Cristhian Tizon 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Bruno Veglio 60' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Leyes 90' yellowcard
  • Mario Risso 90'+3' goal
  • Mario Risso 90'+3' goal
  • Christian Franco 90'+4' goal
  • Christian Franco 90'+4' goal
  • Mario Risso 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Mario Risso 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal 44'
  • goal Mario Risso 46' (OG)
  • goal Mario Risso 46' (OG)
  • yellowcard Cristhian Tizon 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Kevin Rolon 45'+1'
  • goal Cristhian Tizon 53'
  • goal Cristhian Tizon 53'
  • yellowcard Matias Fracchia 84'
  • yellowcard Matias Fracchia 84'
  • yellowcard Santiago Romero 89'
  • yellowcard Santiago Romero 89'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Leyes 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Danubio
Mar 24, 2024 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
Wanderers
  • Emiliano Ancheta 42' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ferreira 66' yellowcard
  • Facundo Saravia 66' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Pintos 82' yellowcard
  • goal Matias Fonseca 10'
  • yellowcard Mario Risso 17'
  • yellowcard Francisco Cerro 42'
  • yellowcard Agustin Albarracin 48'
  • goal Agustin Albarracin 49'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Vega 90'+3'
Copa Sudamericana
Wanderers
Mar 7, 2024 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
Danubio
  • Gonzalo Freitas 54' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Freitas 54' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Garcia 71' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Garcia 71' yellowcard
  • Tabare Viudez 83' yellowcard
  • Tabare Viudez 83' yellowcard
  • goal Matias Fracchia 55'
  • goal Matias Fracchia 55'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ferreira 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ferreira 90'+4'

Form Data

Juventud 2 - 5 Wanderers
Wanderers 1 - 1 Maldonado
Albion 0 - 0 Wanderers
Wanderers 1 - 0 Liverpool
Juventud 2 - 1 Wanderers
Wanderers 1 - 0 Penarol
Danubio 1 - 2 Progreso
Danubio 0 - 0 Juventud
Maldonado 3 - 1 Danubio
Danubio 0 - 1 Albion
Liverpool 3 - 0 Danubio
Nacional 1 - 2 Danubio