Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventud win with a probability of 48.53%. A draw had a probability of 28.67% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventud win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%) , while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (8.76%).