Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Jun 6, 2026 10.30pm
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional vs Juventud - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 31, 2026 10.30pm
Maldonado 3 - 0 Nacional

Juventud

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 31, 2026 7.00pm
Juventud 2 - 5 Wanderers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw has a probability of 24.91% and a win for Juventud has a probability of 17.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.86%) , while for a Juventud win it is 0-1 (6.97%).

Result

Nacional 57.15% (-0.99)
Draw 24.91% (-0.13)
Juventud 17.93% (+1.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.04% (+1.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.3% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 31.7% (-0.52)
Over 2.5 41.96% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 58.04% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 21.05% (+0.73)
Under 3.5 78.95% (-0.72)
Over 4.5 11.43% (+0.34)
Under 4.5 88.57% (-0.35)

First Half Winner

Nacional 41.56% (-0.15)
Draw 43.31% (-0.15)
Juventud 15.13% (+0.30)

Team To Score First

Nacional 63.59% (+0.07)
No Goal 9.13% (-0.20)
Juventud 27.28% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 52.12% (-1.81)
Equal 8 12.34% (-0.22)
Under 8 35.54% (+2.01)
Over 9 40.08% (-1.43)
Equal 9 12.03% (-0.41)
Under 9 47.88% (+1.81)
Over 10.5 29.36% (-0.93)
Under 10.5 70.64% (+0.94)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 46.52% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 53.48% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 19.84% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 80.16% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 6.93% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.07% (+0.01)

Juventud Goals

Over 0.5 51.15% (+1.15)
Under 0.5 48.85% (-1.15)
Over 1.5 17.13% (+1.08)
Under 1.5 82.87% (-1.08)
Over 2.5 4.07% (+0.56)
Under 2.5 95.93% (-0.55)
Over 3.5 0.89% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 99.11% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Nacional 57.14%
Draw 24.92%
Juventud 17.92%
Nacional
1-0 @ 15.58% (-0.60)
2-0 @ 11.71% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 10.36% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 5.49% (-0.26)
3-1 @ 4.83% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.25% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.92% (-0.01)
Total : 57.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 9.13% (-0.20)
2-2 @ 3.58% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.92%
Juventud
0-1 @ 6.97% (+0.23)
1-2 @ 4.45% (+0.24)
0-2 @ 2.78% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 1.21% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.88% (+0.17)
Total : 17.92%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas
  • Alejo Cruz 19' goal
  • Gonzalo Gómez 32' goal
  • Mateo Izaguirre 53' goal
  • Agustín Alaniz 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Chagas 62' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Pérez 62' yellowcard
  • Bruno Larregui 81' yellowcard
  • Patricio Pernicone 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emiliano Ancheta 34'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Carneiro 46'
  • goal Maxi Gómez 49'
  • yellowcard Baltasar Barcia 67'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Silvera 67'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 28, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division
Jun 19, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Exequiel Mereles de la Quintana 17' goal
  • Sebastian Coates 24' yellowcard
  • Ivan Rodrigo Rodriguez Magliano 28' goal
  • Romulo Otero 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Baez 50' goal
  • Lucas Martin Villalba Jaume 72' goal
  • yellowcard Ivan Rossi 21'
  • yellowcard Facundo Nahuel Perez Bertinat 38'
  • goal Agustin Rodriguez 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 30, 2025 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Diego Polenta 4' redcard
  • Lucas Morales 62' goal
  • Luis Mejia 78' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lopez 84' yellowcard
  • goal Agustin Rodriguez 20'
  • yellowcard Angel David Morosini Pereira 61'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Chagas 90'+3'
  • goal Rodrigo Chagas 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Dec 5, 2019 11.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Franco Munoz 6' yellowcard
  • Juan Mathias Bogado 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Felipe Carballo 45'
  • goal Gonzalo Bergessio 48'
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 84'
  • goal Gonzalo Bergessio 87'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Aug 25, 2019 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Gonzalo Bergessio 43'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Bergessio 54'
  • yellowcard Felipe Carvalho 88'
  • goal Mathias Cardacio 93'