Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.91% and a win for Juventud had a probability of 17.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%) , while for a Juventud win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.