Jul 17, 2026 11.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Bruno Zuculini 14'
Alexis Martín Arias 53'
Sebastián Coates 59'
Luciano Boggio 90'+2'
Maxi Gómez 90'+6'

Luciano Cosentino 23'
Fabricio Formiliano 38'
Nicolás Queiróz 45'
Joaquín Zeballos 90'
Alan García 90'+4'

Nacional vs Montevideo Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

D
W
L
W
W
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
W
L
W
W
W

Last game

Jul 11, 2026 7.00pm

Danubio 0 - 0 Nacional

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions

W
D
W
D
D
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
D
W
D
D
W

Last game

Jul 11, 2026 10.00pm

Wanderers 2 - 0 Progreso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.21% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (10.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%) , while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Nacional 56.26% ▼ (-0.02)

Draw 25.21%

Montevideo Wanderers 18.53% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score:

48.27%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.36% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 28.64% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 2.5 45.69% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 54.31% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 23.45% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 3.5 76.55% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 4.5 12.82% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 4.5 87.18% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Nacional 42.9% ▼ (-0.03)

Draw 41.68% ▼ (-0.01)

Montevideo Wanderers 15.42% ▲ (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Nacional 62.52% ▲ (+0.04)

No Goal 8.12% ▼ (-0.02)

Montevideo Wanderers 29.36% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.91% ▼ (-0.03)

Equal 8 11.94% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 8 30.15% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 9 45.71% ▼ (-0.01)

Equal 9 12.2% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 9 42.09% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 10.5 34.34% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 10.5 65.66% ▲ (+0.01)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 48.33% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 51.67% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 21.11% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 78.89% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 7.63% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 92.37% ▼ (-0.02)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 53.88% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 0.5 46.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 1.5 19.34% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 80.66% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 5.2%

Under 2.5 94.8%

Over 3.5 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 98.86% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Nacional 56.25%

Draw 25.21%

Montevideo Wanderers 18.54%

Nacional

1-0 @ 14.06% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 10.93% ▼ (-0.01)

2-1 @ 10.86% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.03)

3-1 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.01)

Total : 56.25%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.14% ▼ (-0.02)

0-0 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.02)

2-2 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 0.08% ▲ (+0.01)

Total : 25.21%

Montevideo Wanderers

0-1 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 5% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)

2-3 @ 1.19%

Other @ 1.06%

Total : 18.54%

Head to Head

Mar 13, 2026 11.00pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Lucas Rodríguez 46'
Maximiliano Silvera 45'+2'
Tomás Verón Lupi 65'
Juan Cruz de los Santos 65'
Tomás Verón Lupi 70'
Agustín Dos Santos 77'
Gonzalo Carneiro 83'

Lisandro Bajú 46'
Santiago Benítez 61'
Esteban Crucci 61'
Leandro Zazpe 77'
Alan García 77'

Oct 26, 2025 9.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Apr 27, 2025 12.15am

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Christian Oliva 29'
Christian Oliva 29'
Nicolas Lopez 40'
Nicolas Lopez 40'
Nicolas Lopez 45'+1'
Nicolas Lopez 45'+1'
Nicolas Lopez 51'
Nicolas Lopez 51'
Luciano Boggio 90'+5'
Luciano Boggio 90'+5'

Emiliano Garcia 29'
Emiliano Garcia 29'
Leandro Zazpe 39'
Leandro Zazpe 39'
Rodrigo Rivero 90'+4'
Rodrigo Rivero 90'+4'

Sep 15, 2024 11.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera

Paulo Lima 27'
Mario Risso 51'

Nicolas Lopez 4'
Leandro Lozano 59'
Gaston Gonzalez 70'

Mar 2, 2024 11.00pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Osinachi Ebere 11'
Emiliano Velazquez 53'
Felipe Cairus 77'
Ruben Bentancourt 87'

Matias Fonseca 44'
Francisco Cerro 44'
Mario Risso 83'

Nov 26, 2023 10.30pm

3

1

HT : 3 0

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Gonzalo Carneiro 1'
Ignacio Ramirez 25'
Ignacio Ramirez 42'
Yonatan Rodriguez 45'+1'
Yonatan Rodriguez 45'+2'
Leandro Lozano 62'

Nicolas Fonseca 45'+1'
Gonzalo Camargo 75'
Juan Acosta 84'
Nicolas Ferreira 89'

Form Data

Danubio 0 - 0 Nacional

Nacional 2 - 1 Juventud

Maldonado 3 - 0 Nacional

Nacional 1 - 0 Coquimbo

Nacional 1 - 0 Albion

Nacional 0 - 0 Universitario

Wanderers 2 - 0 Progreso

Wanderers 0 - 0 Danubio

Juventud 2 - 5 Wanderers

Wanderers 1 - 1 Maldonado

Albion 0 - 0 Wanderers

Wanderers 1 - 0 Liverpool