Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jul 17, 2026 11.30pm
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional vs Montevideo Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 7.00pm
Danubio 0 - 0 Nacional

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 10.00pm
Wanderers 2 - 0 Progreso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 56.27%. A draw has a probability of 25.21% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers has a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.16%) , while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it is 0-1 (6.47%).

Result

Nacional 56.27% (+0.02)
Draw 25.21%
Montevideo Wanderers 18.58% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.27%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.39% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 28.61% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 45.7% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 54.3% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 23.4% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 76.6% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 12.79% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 87.21% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Nacional 42.92% (+0.03)
Draw 41.69% (+0.01)
Montevideo Wanderers 15.39% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Nacional 62.49% (-0.04)
No Goal 8.13% (+0.02)
Montevideo Wanderers 29.38% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.93% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.95% (+0.01)
Under 8 30.13% (-0.02)
Over 9 45.72% (+0.01)
Equal 9 12.21% (+0.02)
Under 9 42.07% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 34.35% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 65.65% (-0.01)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 48.31% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 51.69% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 21.09% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.91% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.61% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.39% (+0.02)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 53.9% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 46.1% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 19.33% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 80.67% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.2%
Under 2.5 94.8%
Over 3.5 1.13% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.87% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Nacional 56.25%
Draw 25.21%
Montevideo Wanderers 18.58%
Nacional
1-0 @ 14.05% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.94% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.87% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.54% (-0.01)
Total : 56.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.13% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.01)
Total : 25.21%
Montevideo Wanderers
0-1 @ 6.47% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.01% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.6% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 18.58%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Mar 13, 2026 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Lucas Rodríguez 46' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Silvera 45'+2' goal
  • Tomás Verón Lupi 65' yellowcard
  • Juan Cruz de los Santos 65' yellowcard
  • Tomás Verón Lupi 70' goal
  • Agustín Dos Santos 77' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lisandro Bajú 46'
  • yellowcard Santiago Benítez 61'
  • yellowcard Esteban Crucci 61'
  • yellowcard Leandro Zazpe 77'
  • yellowcard Alan García 77'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 26, 2025 9.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 27, 2025 12.15am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Christian Oliva 29' yellowcard
  • Christian Oliva 29' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lopez 40' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lopez 40' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lopez 45'+1' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 45'+1' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 51' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 51' goal
  • Luciano Boggio 90'+5' goal
  • Luciano Boggio 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Emiliano Garcia 29'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Garcia 29'
  • yellowcard Leandro Zazpe 39'
  • yellowcard Leandro Zazpe 39'
  • goal Rodrigo Rivero 90'+4'
  • goal Rodrigo Rivero 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Sep 15, 2024 11.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Paulo Lima 27' yellowcard
  • Mario Risso 51' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Lopez 4'
  • yellowcard Leandro Lozano 59'
  • goal Gaston Gonzalez 70'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Mar 2, 2024 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Osinachi Ebere 11' goal
  • Emiliano Velazquez 53' yellowcard
  • Felipe Cairus 77' goal
  • Ruben Bentancourt 87' goal
  • yellowcard Matias Fonseca 44'
  • yellowcard Francisco Cerro 44'
  • yellowcard Mario Risso 83'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Nov 26, 2023 10.30pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 1' goal
  • Ignacio Ramirez 25' goal
  • Ignacio Ramirez 42' goal
  • Yonatan Rodriguez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Yonatan Rodriguez 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Leandro Lozano 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Fonseca 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Camargo 75'
  • yellowcard Juan Acosta 84'
  • goal Nicolas Ferreira 89'