Jul 11, 2026 10.00pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera

Joaquín Zeballos 11'
Nicolás Queiróz 44'
Luciano Cosentino 47'
Rodrigo Rivero 86'
Gonzalo Freitas 90'
Leandro Zazpe 90'

Gonzalo Silva 29'
Jonathan Dos Santos 44'

Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions

D
W
D
D
W
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
W
D
D
W
L

Last game

Jun 5, 2026 11.00pm

Wanderers 0 - 0 Danubio

Progreso

All competitions

L
W
L
L
L
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

L
W
L
L
L
L

Last game

Jun 7, 2026 2.00pm

Progreso 1 - 2 Albion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 35.23%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 30.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Progreso win was 0-1 (12.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Montevideo Wanderers 35.23% ▼ (-0.18)

Draw 30.15% ▼ (-0.34)

Progreso 34.63% ▲ (+0.53)

Both Teams to Score:

45.78% ▲ (+0.79)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.46% ▲ (+1.09)

Under 1.5 35.54% ▼ (-1.10)

Over 2.5 37.83% ▲ (+1.31)

Under 2.5 62.17% ▼ (-1.31)

Over 3.5 18.5% ▲ (+0.88)

Under 3.5 81.49% ▼ (-0.90)

Over 4.5 9.01% ▲ (+0.57)

Under 4.5 90.99% ▼ (-0.57)

First Half Winner

Montevideo Wanderers 25.79% ▲ (+0.43)

Draw 49.8% ▼ (-0.42)

Progreso 24.42% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Montevideo Wanderers 44.51% ▲ (+0.72)

No Goal 11.23% ▼ (-0.51)

Progreso 44.26% ▼ (-0.21)

Corners

Over 8 51.75% ▼ (-0.32)

Equal 8 12.04% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 8 36.21% ▲ (+0.28)

Over 9 40.04% ▼ (-0.33)

Equal 9 11.71% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 9 48.25% ▲ (+0.32)

Over 10.5 29.6% ▼ (-0.29)

Under 10.5 70.4% ▲ (+0.30)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 29.65% ▲ (+0.55)

Under 1.5 70.35% ▼ (-0.56)

Over 2.5 9.5% ▲ (+0.34)

Under 2.5 90.5% ▼ (-0.33)

Over 3.5 2.53% ▲ (+0.15)

Under 3.5 97.47% ▼ (-0.16)

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 65.49% ▲ (+0.85)

Under 0.5 34.51% ▼ (-0.86)

Over 1.5 29.1% ▲ (+1.02)

Under 1.5 70.9% ▼ (-1.01)

Over 2.5 9.61% ▲ (+0.67)

Under 2.5 90.39% ▼ (-0.68)

Over 3.5 2.6% ▲ (+0.25)

Under 3.5 97.4% ▼ (-0.24)

Score analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 35.24%

Draw 30.15%

Progreso 34.62%

Montevideo Wanderers

1-0 @ 12.21% ▼ (-0.35)

2-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.10)

2-0 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.13)

3-1 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.06)

3-0 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.03)

3-2 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.04)

Other @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.11)

Total : 35.24%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.99% ▼ (-0.09)

0-0 @ 11.23% ▼ (-0.51)

2-2 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.14)

Other @ 0.05% ▲ (+0.04)

Total : 30.15%

Progreso

0-1 @ 12.11% ▼ (-0.23)

1-2 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.21)

0-2 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.04)

1-3 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.15)

0-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.12)

2-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.11)

Other @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.20)

Total : 34.62%

Head to Head

Apr 18, 2026 5.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Parque Abraham Paladino

Nahuel López 9'
Facundo Kidd 40'
62'
Santiago Viera 62'
Diego Sánchez 63'
Santiago Viera 63'
Jonás Luna 63'
Agustín Codagnone 76'
Agustin Paz 76'
76'
Agustin Paz 77'
Agustín Codagnone 83'
Diego Sánchez 90'

Mateo Levato 45'
Jonás Luna 56'
Mateo Levato 56'
Lisandro Bajú 56'
58'
Ricca Roque 69'
70'
Roque Ricca Gayol 70'
José Alberti 70'
Jonás Luna 77'

Sep 21, 2025 2.30pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Mar 27, 2025 10.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera

Mateo Alejandro Acosta Fernandez 12'
Emiliano Garcia 76'
Joaquin Zeballos 77'
Rodrigo Rivero 78'
Andrew Teuten 88'

Matteo Tiziano Copelotti Clara 12'
Maximiliano Viera 35'
Facundo Nahuel Sosa Santana 58'
Nicolas Gonzalez 76'
Nicolas Olivera 77'

Nov 10, 2024 7.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

Gustavo Alles 77'

Jose Alberti 57'

Jul 14, 2024 9.30pm

4

2

HT : 2 1

FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera

Fabricio Formiliano 21'
Gonzalo Vega 25'
Bruno Veglio 34'
Gonzalo Vega 42'
Matias Fonseca 58'
Fabricio Formiliano 68'
Martin Suarez 78'
Joel Poiso 87'
Jose Alberti 90'+1'
Nicolas Royon 90'+4'

Horacio Sequeira 11'
Ignacio Lemmo 13'
Mauro Joaquin Martin Colman 18'
Martin Marta 35'
Facundo Silvera 38'
Ignacio Lemmo 84'
Gonzalo Barreto 88'
Jose Alberti 90'

May 4, 2024 7.00pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera

Gonzalo Vega 57'
Santiago Guzman 81'
Esteban Crucci 88'
Nicolas Ferreira 90'+1'

Carlos Canobbio 43'
Joel Poiso 45'

Form Data

Wanderers 0 - 0 Danubio

Juventud 2 - 5 Wanderers

Wanderers 1 - 1 Maldonado

Albion 0 - 0 Wanderers

Wanderers 1 - 0 Liverpool

Juventud 2 - 1 Wanderers

Progreso 1 - 2 Albion

Danubio 1 - 2 Progreso

Progreso 1 - 2 Torque

Juventud 2 - 0 Progreso

Torque 2 - 1 Progreso

Progreso 0 - 1 Cerro Largo