Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
5
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Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 35.4%. A win for Progreso has a probability of 34.11% and a draw has a probability of 30.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Progreso win is 0-1 (12.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (14.07%).
Result
Montevideo Wanderers
35.4%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
30.49%
▼
(-0.17)
Progreso
34.11%
▲
(+0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
45%
▲
(+0.33)
Goals
Over 1.5
63.37%
▲
(+0.48)
Under 1.5
36.63%
▼
(-0.48)
Over 2.5
36.52%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 2.5
63.48%
▼
(-0.65)
Over 3.5
17.62%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 3.5
82.38%
▼
(-0.36)
Over 4.5
8.45%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 4.5
91.55%
▼
(-0.18)
First Half Winner
Montevideo Wanderers
25.36%
▲
(+0.18)
Draw
50.21%
▼
(-0.48)
Progreso
24.43%
▲
(+0.31)
Team To Score First
Montevideo Wanderers
43.8%
▼
(-0.35)
No Goal
11.74%
▼
(-0.23)
Progreso
44.46%
▲
(+0.57)
Corners
Over 8
52.06%
▼
(-1.58)
Equal 8
12.01%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 8
35.94%
▲
(+1.45)
Over 9
40.36%
▼
(-1.58)
Equal 9
11.7%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 9
47.94%
▲
(+1.58)
Over 10.5
29.89%
▼
(-1.44)
Under 10.5
70.11%
▲
(+1.44)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 1.5
29.1%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 1.5
70.9%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 2.5
9.17%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 2.5
90.83%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 3.5
2.38%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
97.62%
▼
(-0.07)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5
64.64%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 0.5
35.36%
▼
(-0.42)
Over 1.5
28.09%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 1.5
71.91%
▼
(-0.41)
Over 2.5
8.94%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 2.5
91.06%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 3.5
2.36%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
97.64%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Montevideo Wanderers
35.4%
Draw
30.49%
Progreso
34.11%
Montevideo Wanderers
1-0
@
12.56%
▼
(-0.12)
2-1 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 35.4%
2-1 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 35.4%
Draw
1-1
@
14.07%
▼
(-0.07)
0-0 @ 11.74% ▼ (-0.23)
2-2 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.49%
0-0 @ 11.74% ▼ (-0.23)
2-2 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.49%
Progreso
0-1
@
12.33%
▼
(-0.08)
1-2 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.17)
0-2 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 34.11%
1-2 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.17)
0-2 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 34.11%
Head to Head
Uruguayan Primera Division
-
Nahuel López
9'
-
Facundo Kidd
40'
-
62'
-
Santiago Viera
62'
-
Diego Sánchez
63'
-
Santiago Viera
63'
-
Jonás Luna
63'
-
Agustín Codagnone
76'
-
Agustin Paz
76'
-
76'
-
Agustin Paz
77'
-
Agustín Codagnone
83'
-
Diego Sánchez
90'
-
Mateo Levato
45'
-
Jonás Luna
56'
-
Mateo Levato
56'
-
Lisandro Bajú
56'
-
58'
-
Ricca Roque
69'
-
70'
-
Roque Ricca Gayol
70'
-
José Alberti
70'
-
Jonás Luna
77'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
8
-
Mateo Alejandro Acosta Fernandez
12'
-
Emiliano Garcia
76'
-
Joaquin Zeballos
77'
-
Rodrigo Rivero
78'
-
Andrew Teuten
88'
-
Matteo Tiziano Copelotti Clara
12'
-
Maximiliano Viera
35'
-
Facundo Nahuel Sosa Santana
58'
-
Nicolas Gonzalez
76'
-
Nicolas Olivera
77'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
5
-
Fabricio Formiliano
21'
-
Gonzalo Vega
25'
-
Bruno Veglio
34'
-
Gonzalo Vega
42'
-
Matias Fonseca
58'
-
Fabricio Formiliano
68'
-
Martin Suarez
78'
-
Joel Poiso
87'
-
Jose Alberti
90'+1'
-
Nicolas Royon
90'+4'
-
Horacio Sequeira
11'
-
Ignacio Lemmo
13'
-
Mauro Joaquin Martin Colman
18'
-
Martin Marta
35'
-
Facundo Silvera
38'
-
Ignacio Lemmo
84'
-
Gonzalo Barreto
88'
-
Jose Alberti
90'