Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Jun 7, 2026 2.00pm
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso vs Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 30, 2026 7.00pm
Danubio 1 - 2 Progreso

Albion

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 31, 2026 2.00pm
Albion 1 - 2 Torque

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Albion win with a probability of 44.4%. A draw has a probability of 28.2% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 27.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Albion win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.91%) , while for a Progreso win it is 1-0 (9.73%).

Result

Progreso 27.41% (+4.72)
Draw 28.2% (+0.24)
Albion 44.4% (-4.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.8% (+3.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.91% (+1.85)
Under 1.5 34.09% (-1.84)
Over 2.5 39.75% (+2.50)
Under 2.5 60.25% (-2.50)
Over 3.5 19.08% (+1.46)
Under 3.5 80.92% (-1.46)
Over 4.5 9.53% (+0.69)
Under 4.5 90.47% (-0.69)

First Half Winner

Progreso 20.77% (+1.11)
Draw 46.47% (-0.36)
Albion 32.76% (-0.75)

Team To Score First

Progreso 36.95% (+1.93)
No Goal 10.61% (-0.92)
Albion 52.44% (-1.00)

Corners

Over 8 49.25% (-2.00)
Equal 8 12.06% (-0.28)
Under 8 38.7% (+2.30)
Over 9 37.75% (-1.55)
Equal 9 11.49% (-0.46)
Under 9 50.75% (+2.00)
Over 10.5 27.68% (-1.02)
Under 10.5 72.32% (+1.02)

Progreso Goals

Over 1.5 24.03% (+5.02)
Under 1.5 75.97% (-5.02)
Over 2.5 7.34% (+2.47)
Under 2.5 92.66% (-2.47)
Over 3.5 1.69% (+0.66)
Under 3.5 98.31% (-0.66)

Albion Goals

Over 0.5 71.74% (-1.74)
Under 0.5 28.26% (+1.74)
Over 1.5 36.69% (-2.18)
Under 1.5 63.31% (+2.18)
Over 2.5 13.75% (-1.47)
Under 2.5 86.25% (+1.46)
Over 3.5 4.26% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 95.74% (+0.52)

Score analysis

Progreso 27.4%
Draw 28.2%
Albion 44.39%
Progreso
1-0 @ 9.73% (+0.59)
2-1 @ 6.27% (+1.12)
2-0 @ 4.66% (+0.83)
3-1 @ 2.13% (+0.59)
3-0 @ 1.59%
3-2 @ 1.36% (+0.37)
Other @ 1.66% (+0.64)
Total : 27.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.91% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 10.61% (-0.92)
2-2 @ 4.08% (+0.65)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.02)
Total : 28.2%
Albion
0-1 @ 13.74% (-1.50)
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.59% (-1.72)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.68)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.48)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.23% (-0.54)
Total : 44.39%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 7, 2026 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Nicolás Fernández 9' goal
  • Marcos Paolini 25' yellowcard
  • Diego Sánchez 46' yellowcard
  • Mauro Martín 55' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Lemmo 71' yellowcard
  • Augustin Paz 71' yellowcard
  • Agustin Paz 71' yellowcard
  • Mauro Martín 78' goal
  • yellowcard Federico Puente 46'
  • goal Francisco Ginella 55'
  • yellowcard Álvaro López 66'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Roldán 66'
  • goal Álvaro López 71'
  • yellowcard Agustín Vera 71'
  • yellowcard Francisco Couture 85'