Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Progreso
Jun 7, 2026 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
Albion
  • Jonathan Dos Santos 56' goal
  • Hernán Carroso 78' yellowcard
  • Adrián Colombino  90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomás Moschión 3'
  • goal Tobías Figueroa 23'
  • redcard Tomás Moschión 40'
  • goal Carlos Airala 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Matías De los Santos 64'
  • yellowcard Tobías Figueroa 87'

Progreso vs Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 30, 2026 7.00pm
Danubio 1 - 2 Progreso

Albion

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 31, 2026 2.00pm
Albion 1 - 2 Torque

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albion win with a probability of 44.4%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 27.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%) , while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Progreso 27.41% ▲ (+4.72)
Draw 28.2% ▲ (+0.24)
Albion 44.4% ▼ (-4.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.8% ▲ (+3.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.91% ▲ (+1.85)
Under 1.5 34.09% ▼ (-1.84)
Over 2.5 39.75% ▲ (+2.50)
Under 2.5 60.25% ▼ (-2.50)
Over 3.5 19.08% ▲ (+1.46)
Under 3.5 80.92% ▼ (-1.46)
Over 4.5 9.53% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 4.5 90.47% ▼ (-0.69)

First Half Winner

Progreso 20.77% ▲ (+1.11)
Draw 46.47% ▼ (-0.36)
Albion 32.76% ▼ (-0.75)

Team To Score First

Progreso 36.95% ▲ (+1.93)
No Goal 10.61% ▼ (-0.92)
Albion 52.44% ▼ (-1.00)

Corners

Over 8 49.25% ▼ (-2.00)
Equal 8 12.06% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 8 38.7% ▲ (+2.30)
Over 9 37.75% ▼ (-1.55)
Equal 9 11.49% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 9 50.75% ▲ (+2.00)
Over 10.5 27.68% ▼ (-1.02)
Under 10.5 72.32% ▲ (+1.02)

Progreso Goals

Over 1.5 24.03% ▲ (+5.02)
Under 1.5 75.97% ▼ (-5.02)
Over 2.5 7.34% ▲ (+2.47)
Under 2.5 92.66% ▼ (-2.47)
Over 3.5 1.69% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 3.5 98.31% ▼ (-0.66)

Albion Goals

Over 0.5 71.74% ▼ (-1.74)
Under 0.5 28.26% ▲ (+1.74)
Over 1.5 36.69% ▼ (-2.18)
Under 1.5 63.31% ▲ (+2.18)
Over 2.5 13.75% ▼ (-1.47)
Under 2.5 86.25% ▲ (+1.46)
Over 3.5 4.26% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 3.5 95.74% ▲ (+0.52)

Score analysis

Progreso 27.4%
Draw 28.2%
Albion 44.39%
Progreso
1-0 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.59)
2-1 @ 6.27% ▲ (+1.12)
2-0 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.83)
3-1 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.59)
3-0 @ 1.59%
3-2 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.37)
Other @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.64)
Total : 27.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.91% ▲ (+0.25)
0-0 @ 10.61% ▼ (-0.92)
2-2 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.65)
Other @ 0.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 28.2%
Albion
0-1 @ 13.74% ▼ (-1.50)
1-2 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.59% ▼ (-1.72)
0-3 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.68)
1-3 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.48)
2-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.54)
Total : 44.39%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Progreso
Mar 7, 2026 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
Albion
  • Nicolás Fernández 9' goal
  • Marcos Paolini 25' yellowcard
  • Diego Sánchez 46' yellowcard
  • Mauro Martín 55' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Lemmo 71' yellowcard
  • Augustin Paz 71' yellowcard
  • Agustin Paz 71' yellowcard
  • Mauro Martín 78' goal
  • yellowcard Federico Puente 46'
  • goal Francisco Ginella 55'
  • yellowcard Álvaro López 66'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Roldán 66'
  • goal Álvaro López 71'
  • yellowcard Agustín Vera 71'
  • yellowcard Francisco Couture 85'

Form Data

Danubio 1 - 2 Progreso
Progreso 1 - 2 Torque
Juventud 2 - 0 Progreso
Torque 2 - 1 Progreso
Progreso 0 - 1 Cerro Largo
Defensor 1 - 0 Progreso
Albion 1 - 2 Torque
Nacional 1 - 0 Albion
Albion 0 - 0 Wanderers
Danubio 0 - 1 Albion
Albion 3 - 2 Nacional
Maldonado 1 - 2 Albion