Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albion win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (10.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.