Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America de Cali win with a probability of 46.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.98% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 25.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a America de Cali win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%) , while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.