Jul 18, 2026 4.30pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Parque Abraham Paladino

Agustín Ocampo 10'
Agustín Ocampo 36'
Ayrton Cougo 41'
Ayrton Cougo 59'
Sebastián Cardozo 63'
Agustín Requena 76'
Gonzalo Silva 87'

Facundo Tealde 28'
Renato César 90'+1'
Hernán Menosse 90'+6'

Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions

L
L
W
L
L
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

L
L
W
L
L
L

Last game

Jul 11, 2026 10.00pm

Wanderers 2 - 0 Progreso

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions

D
W
W
D
W
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
W
W
D
W
W

Last game

Jul 10, 2026 11.00pm

Maldonado 1 - 1 Albion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.62% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 19.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.74%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%) , while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Progreso 19.98% ▲ (+0.20)

Draw 25.62% ▼ (-0.09)

Deportivo Maldonado 54.4% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score:

45.52% ▲ (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.5% ▲ (+0.35)

Under 1.5 31.5% ▼ (-0.34)

Over 2.5 42.61% ▲ (+0.43)

Under 2.5 57.39% ▼ (-0.43)

Over 3.5 21.38% ▲ (+0.27)

Under 3.5 78.62% ▼ (-0.27)

Over 4.5 11.66% ▲ (+0.18)

Under 4.5 88.34% ▼ (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Progreso 16.76% ▲ (+0.08)

Draw 44.84% ▼ (-0.36)

Deportivo Maldonado 38.4% ▲ (+0.29)

Team To Score First

Progreso 32.38% ▲ (+0.11)

No Goal 9.48% ▼ (-0.14)

Deportivo Maldonado 58.14% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 50.78% ▲ (+0.22)

Equal 8 12.02% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 8 37.21% ▼ (-0.19)

Over 9 39.19% ▲ (+0.23)

Equal 9 11.59%

Under 9 49.22% ▼ (-0.22)

Over 10.5 28.91% ▲ (+0.22)

Under 10.5 71.09% ▼ (-0.21)

Progreso Goals

Over 1.5 19.01% ▲ (+0.34)

Under 1.5 80.99% ▼ (-0.35)

Over 2.5 4.93% ▲ (+0.19)

Under 2.5 95.07% ▼ (-0.20)

Over 3.5 0.96% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 3.5 99.04% ▼ (-0.05)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5 78.03% ▲ (+0.13)

Under 0.5 21.97% ▼ (-0.13)

Over 1.5 45.19% ▲ (+0.15)

Under 1.5 54.81% ▼ (-0.15)

Over 2.5 19.81% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 2.5 80.19% ▼ (-0.10)

Over 3.5 6.9% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 3.5 93.1% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Progreso 19.99%

Draw 25.63%

Deportivo Maldonado 54.41%

Progreso

1-0 @ 7.4% ▼ (-0.05)

2-1 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.09)

2-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.04)

3-2 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.04)

Other @ 0.95% ▲ (+0.05)

Total : 19.99%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.88% ▼ (-0.02)

0-0 @ 9.48% ▼ (-0.14)

2-2 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.06)

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 25.63%

Deportivo Maldonado

0-1 @ 14.65% ▼ (-0.13)

0-2 @ 10.74% ▼ (-0.08)

1-2 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.05)

0-3 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.02)

2-3 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.06)

Total : 54.41%

Head to Head

Feb 14, 2026 8.00pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel

Maximiliano Noble 29'
Maximiliano Noble 61'
Joaquin Fernandez 69'
Joaquín Fernández 69'
Sebastian Gonzalez 75'
Guillermo Lopez Matturo 75'
Sebastián González 75'
Guillermo López 75'
Emiliano Mozzone 84'
Hernan Petryk 84'
Hernán Petryk 84'

Matteo Tiziano Copelotti Clara 46'
Santiago Viera 46'
Fabricio Fernandez 46'
Matteo Copelotti 46'
Fabricio Fernández 46'
Elvis Nahuel López Barboza 68'
68'
Nahuel López 68'
Joaquin Silva 78'
Joaquin Silva Reyes 80'

Oct 6, 2024 10.30pm

2

2

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel

Renato Cesar 26'
Mathias Suarez 45'+1'
Pablo Gonzalez 90'+4'

Nicolas Fernandez 22'
Horacio Sequeira 40'
Gaston Colman 49'
Mario Garcia 66'

Jul 21, 2024 4.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Parque Abraham Paladino

Sebastian Cardozo 13'
Facundo Silvera 73'

Pablo Gonzalez 52'
Maximiliano Noble 75'
Sebastian Gonzalez 84'
Sebastian Diana 89'
Maximiliano Noble 90'+2'

Mar 31, 2024 7.00pm

3

1

HT : 3 1

FT Parque Abraham Paladino

Franco Lopez 13'
14'
Hernan Menosse 35'
Franco Lopez 55'
Joel Poiso 59'
Sebastian Cardozo 71'
Sebastian Cardozo 88'

Marco Ruben 23'
Agustin Alfaro 36'
Maximiliano Cantera 82'
Hernan Petryk 84'
Hernan Menosse 86'
Maximiliano Noble 86'
Diego Romero 90'+1'

Oct 21, 2021 7.30pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Parque Abraham Paladino

Adolfo Lima 17'
Alex Silva 42'
Gonzalo Andrada 45'
Gaston Colman 46'

Rodrigo Muniz 83'

Jun 24, 2021 5.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Domingo BurgueÃ±o Miguel

Tomas Conechny 55'
Facundo Batista 69'
Mariano Bogliacino 71'
Matias Aguirregaray 90'+4'

Gustavo Alles 10'
Gustavo Alles 15'
Danilo Asconeguy 34'
Lucas Morales 53'
Matias Gallardo 69'
Nahuel Suarez 81'
Alex Silva 82'

Form Data

Wanderers 2 - 0 Progreso

Progreso 1 - 2 Albion

Danubio 1 - 2 Progreso

Progreso 1 - 2 Torque

Juventud 2 - 0 Progreso

Torque 2 - 1 Progreso

Maldonado 1 - 1 Albion

Torque 2 - 4 Maldonado

Maldonado 3 - 0 Nacional

Wanderers 1 - 1 Maldonado

Maldonado 3 - 1 Danubio

Maldonado 2 - 1 Boston River