Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Progreso
Jul 18, 2026 4.30pm
Parque Abraham Paladino
Maldonado

Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 10.00pm
Wanderers 2 - 0 Progreso

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jul 10, 2026 11.00pm
Maldonado 1 - 1 Albion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw has a probability of 25.71% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.9%) , while for a Progreso win it is 1-0 (7.45%).

Result

Progreso 19.79% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 25.71%
Deportivo Maldonado 54.5% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.31%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 31.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 42.18%
Under 2.5 57.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 21.11% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 78.89% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 11.48% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 88.52% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Progreso 16.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 45.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Deportivo Maldonado 38.11% ▼ (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Progreso 32.28% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 9.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Deportivo Maldonado 58.1% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 50.56% ▼ (-0.24)
Equal 8 12.04%
Under 8 37.4% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 9 38.96% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.59% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 49.44% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 10.5 28.7% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 10.5 71.3% ▲ (+0.18)

Progreso Goals

Over 1.5 18.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 81.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 95.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 0.91%
Under 3.5 99.09%

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5 77.91% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 22.09% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 45.04% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 54.96% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 19.72% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 80.28% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 6.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.16% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Progreso 19.8%
Draw 25.71%
Deportivo Maldonado 54.5%
Progreso
1-0 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.34%
3-2 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 19.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.71%
Deportivo Maldonado
0-1 @ 14.78% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 10.81% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 54.5%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Maldonado
Feb 14, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
Progreso
  • Maximiliano Noble 29' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Noble 61' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Fernandez 69' yellowcard
  • Joaquín Fernández 69' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Gonzalez 75' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Lopez Matturo 75' yellowcard
  • Sebastián González 75' yellowcard
  • Guillermo López 75' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Mozzone 84' yellowcard
  • Hernan Petryk 84' yellowcard
  • Hernán Petryk 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matteo Tiziano Copelotti Clara 46'
  • yellowcard Santiago Viera 46'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Fernandez 46'
  • yellowcard Matteo Copelotti 46'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Fernández 46'
  • yellowcard Elvis Nahuel López Barboza 68'
  • yellowcard 68'
  • yellowcard Nahuel López 68'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Silva 78'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Silva Reyes 80'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Maldonado
Oct 6, 2024 10.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
Progreso
  • Renato Cesar 26' goal
  • Mathias Suarez 45'+1' goal
  • Pablo Gonzalez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Fernandez 22'
  • yellowcard Horacio Sequeira 40'
  • goal Gaston Colman 49'
  • goal Mario Garcia 66'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Progreso
Jul 21, 2024 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
Maldonado
  • Sebastian Cardozo 13' yellowcard
  • Facundo Silvera 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Gonzalez 52'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Noble 75'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Gonzalez 84'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Diana 89'
  • goal Maximiliano Noble 90'+2'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Progreso
Mar 31, 2024 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
Maldonado
  • Franco Lopez 13' goal
  • 14' goal
  • Hernan Menosse 35' goal
  • Franco Lopez 55' yellowcard
  • Joel Poiso 59' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Cardozo 71' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Cardozo 88' goal
  • goal Marco Ruben 23'
  • yellowcard Agustin Alfaro 36'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Cantera 82'
  • yellowcard Hernan Petryk 84'
  • yellowcard Hernan Menosse 86'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Noble 86'
  • yellowcard Diego Romero 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Progreso
Oct 21, 2021 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
Maldonado
  • Adolfo Lima 17' goal
  • Alex Silva 42' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Andrada 45' yellowcard
  • Gaston Colman 46' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Muniz 83'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Maldonado
Jun 24, 2021 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
Progreso
  • Tomas Conechny 55' yellowcard
  • Facundo Batista 69' yellowcard
  • Mariano Bogliacino 71' goal
  • Matias Aguirregaray 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Gustavo Alles 10'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Alles 15'
  • yellowcard Danilo Asconeguy 34'
  • yellowcard Lucas Morales 53'
  • yellowcard Matias Gallardo 69'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Suarez 81'
  • yellowcard Alex Silva 82'

Form Data

Wanderers 2 - 0 Progreso
Progreso 1 - 2 Albion
Danubio 1 - 2 Progreso
Progreso 1 - 2 Torque
Juventud 2 - 0 Progreso
Torque 2 - 1 Progreso
Maldonado 1 - 1 Albion
Torque 2 - 4 Maldonado
Maldonado 3 - 0 Nacional
Wanderers 1 - 1 Maldonado
Maldonado 3 - 1 Danubio
Maldonado 2 - 1 Boston River