Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.