Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jul 13, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jun 8, 2026 11.00pm
Liverpool 0 - 0 Cerro Largo

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jun 7, 2026 10.30pm
Defensor 1 - 1 Boston River

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 41.41%. A draw has a probability of 30.95% and a win for Defensor Sporting has a probability of 27.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.4%) , while for a Defensor Sporting win it is 0-1 (10.96%).

Result

Cerro Largo 41.41% (+1.01)
Draw 30.95% (+0.33)
Defensor Sporting 27.64% (-1.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.61% (-0.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.26% (-1.08)
Under 1.5 37.74% (+1.08)
Over 2.5 36.42% (-1.52)
Under 2.5 63.53% (+1.47)
Over 3.5 17.25% (-0.83)
Under 3.5 82.75% (+0.83)
Over 4.5 8.37% (-0.48)
Under 4.5 91.63% (+0.47)

First Half Winner

Cerro Largo 27.97% (-0.09)
Draw 50.15% (+0.50)
Defensor Sporting 21.88% (-0.42)

Team To Score First

Cerro Largo 46.82% (+0.17)
No Goal 13.14% (+0.53)
Defensor Sporting 40.04% (-0.68)

Corners

Over 8 47.39% (-0.26)
Equal 8 12.81% (-0.04)
Under 8 39.79% (+0.29)
Over 9 35.35% (-0.22)
Equal 9 12.04% (-0.07)
Under 9 52.61% (+0.26)
Over 10.5 25.02% (-0.16)
Under 10.5 74.97% (+0.15)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 1.5 33.32% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 66.68% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 11.91% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 88.09% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.34% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.66% (+0.04)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5 59.13% (-1.52)
Under 0.5 40.87% (+1.52)
Over 1.5 22.94% (-1.66)
Under 1.5 77.06% (+1.66)
Over 2.5 6.54% (-0.96)
Under 2.5 93.46% (+0.95)
Over 3.5 1.61% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 98.39% (+0.32)

Score analysis

Cerro Largo 41.4%
Draw 30.96%
Defensor Sporting 27.64%
Cerro Largo
1-0 @ 13.64% (+0.57)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 7.81% (+0.38)
3-1 @ 3.21% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.01% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.84% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.27% (+0.03)
Total : 41.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.4% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 13.14% (+0.53)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.22)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.06)
Total : 30.96%
Defensor Sporting
0-1 @ 10.96% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.42)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.25)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.14)
Other @ 1.54% (-0.25)
Total : 27.64%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Feb 21, 2026 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Brian Montenegro 52' goal
  • Nicolás Wunsch 68' yellowcard
  • Brian Lozano 77' yellowcard
  • Lucas de los Santos 77' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Navarro 90' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Navarro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emiliano Jourdan 46'
  • yellowcard Federico Sellecchia 78'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Bertocchi 85'
  • yellowcard Mario García 85'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 13, 2025 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
May 25, 2025 12.00am
3
2
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Guillermo De Los Santos 8' goal
  • Guillermo De Los Santos 8' goal
  • Maxi Gomez 28' goal
  • Maxi Gomez 28' goal
  • Jose Alvarez 59' goal
  • Jose Alvarez 59' goal
  • Maxi Gomez 60' yellowcard
  • Maxi Gomez 60' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Federico Amaro Viega 72' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Federico Amaro Viega 72' yellowcard
  • Diego Fernando Abreu Firenze 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Xavier Biscayzacu Vazquez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Diego Fernando Abreu Firenze 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Xavier Biscayzacu Vazquez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Bertochi 21'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Bertochi 21'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Anasco 40'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Anasco 40'
  • goal Matias Mir 72'
  • goal Matias Mir 72'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Assis 82'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Assis 82'
  • yellowcard Franco Andres Rossi Donazar 87'
  • yellowcard Franco Andres Rossi Donazar 87'
  • yellowcard Martin Gianoli 88'
  • yellowcard Martin Gianoli 88'
  • goal Alan Garcia 90'+3'
  • goal Alan Garcia 90'+3'
  • redcard Julian Contrera 90'+5'
  • redcard Julian Contrera 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Mar 23, 2025 12.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Guillermo De Los Santos 41' yellowcard
  • Guillermo De Los Santos 41' yellowcard
  • Kevin Estiven Prieto Machado 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kevin Estiven Prieto Machado 45'+1' yellowcard
  • 75' goal
  • Jose Alvarez 88' yellowcard
  • Jose Alvarez 88' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Wunsch 90' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Wunsch 90' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Peraza 50'
  • yellowcard Martin Gianoli 66'
  • yellowcard Martin Gianoli 66'
  • yellowcard Facundo Bonifazi 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Facundo Bonifazi 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
Nov 27, 2024 9.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
  • Alan Di Pippa 22' goal
  • Matias Mir 43' goal
  • Julian Contrera 58' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Anasco 81' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco Barrios 50'
  • yellowcard Juan Jorge 65'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
May 26, 2024 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia 10' goal
  • Octavio Rivero 16' goal
  • Brian Mansilla 45'+1' goal
  • Agustin Soria 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mauro Brasil 12'
  • goal Hugo Silveira 36'
  • yellowcard Hugo Silveira 48'
  • yellowcard Lucas Correa 54'
  • yellowcard Gino Santilli 74'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Furtado 79'
  • yellowcard Mauro Estol 86'
  • yellowcard Briam Acosta 90'+2'