Jul 13, 2026 11.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Diego Daguerre 18'
Lucas Correa 39'
Santiago Franca 61'
Alexis Piegas 70'

Martín Rabuñal 13'
Alexander Machado 28'

Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions

D
W
W
L
L
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
W
W
L
L
W

Last game

Jun 8, 2026 11.00pm

Liverpool 0 - 0 Cerro Largo

Defensor Sporting

All competitions

L
D
D
L
L
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
D
L
L
L
D

Last game

Jun 7, 2026 10.30pm

Defensor 1 - 1 Boston River

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 40.58%. A draw had a probability of 30.84% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 28.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%) , while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 0-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result

Cerro Largo 40.58% ▼ (-0.83)

Draw 30.84% ▼ (-0.11)

Defensor Sporting 28.58% ▲ (+0.94)

Both Teams to Score:

45.36% ▲ (+1.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.21% ▲ (+1.95)

Under 1.5 35.79% ▼ (-1.96)

Over 2.5 38.99% ▲ (+2.57)

Under 2.5 61.01% ▼ (-2.53)

Over 3.5 18.92% ▲ (+1.68)

Under 3.5 81.08% ▼ (-1.68)

Over 4.5 9.37% ▲ (+1.00)

Under 4.5 90.63% ▼ (-1.00)

First Half Winner

Cerro Largo 28.74% ▲ (+0.77)

Draw 49.02% ▼ (-1.13)

Defensor Sporting 22.24% ▲ (+0.36)

Team To Score First

Cerro Largo 47.31% ▲ (+0.50)

No Goal 12.23% ▼ (-0.92)

Defensor Sporting 40.46% ▲ (+0.43)

Corners

Over 8 48.02% ▲ (+0.64)

Equal 8 12.82% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 8 39.16% ▼ (-0.64)

Over 9 35.91% ▲ (+0.56)

Equal 9 12.11% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 9 51.98% ▼ (-0.64)

Over 10.5 25.48% ▲ (+0.47)

Under 10.5 74.52% ▼ (-0.46)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 1.5 34.24% ▲ (+0.93)

Under 1.5 65.76% ▼ (-0.93)

Over 2.5 12.53% ▲ (+0.62)

Under 2.5 87.47% ▼ (-0.63)

Over 3.5 3.67% ▲ (+0.34)

Under 3.5 96.33% ▼ (-0.33)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5 61% ▲ (+1.87)

Under 0.5 39% ▼ (-1.87)

Over 1.5 25.11% ▲ (+2.17)

Under 1.5 74.89% ▼ (-2.18)

Over 2.5 7.78% ▲ (+1.25)

Under 2.5 92.22% ▼ (-1.24)

Over 3.5 2.04% ▲ (+0.43)

Under 3.5 97.96% ▼ (-0.44)

Score analysis

Cerro Largo 40.58%

Draw 30.84%

Defensor Sporting 28.58%

Cerro Largo

1-0 @ 12.93% ▼ (-0.72)

2-1 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.09)

2-0 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.40)

3-1 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.05)

3-0 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.17)

Total : 40.58%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.31% ▼ (-0.09)

0-0 @ 12.23% ▼ (-0.92)

2-2 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.47)

Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.17)

Total : 30.84%

Defensor Sporting

0-1 @ 10.63% ▼ (-0.34)

1-2 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.58)

0-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.13)

1-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.15)

0-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.27)

2-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.16)

Other @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.26)

Total : 28.58%

Head to Head

Feb 21, 2026 12.30am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Luis Franzini

Brian Montenegro 52'
Nicolás Wunsch 68'
Brian Lozano 77'
Lucas de los Santos 77'
Lautaro Navarro 90'
Lautaro Navarro 90'+1'

Emiliano Jourdan 46'
Federico Sellecchia 78'
Nicolás Bertocchi 85'
Mario García 85'

Sep 13, 2025 10.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

May 25, 2025 12.00am

3

2

HT : 4 0

FT Estadio Luis Franzini

Guillermo De Los Santos 8'
Guillermo De Los Santos 8'
Maxi Gomez 28'
Maxi Gomez 28'
Jose Alvarez 59'
Jose Alvarez 59'
Maxi Gomez 60'
Maxi Gomez 60'
Mauricio Federico Amaro Viega 72'
Mauricio Federico Amaro Viega 72'
Diego Fernando Abreu Firenze 90'+6'
Xavier Biscayzacu Vazquez 90'+6'
Diego Fernando Abreu Firenze 90'+6'
Xavier Biscayzacu Vazquez 90'+6'

Nicolas Bertochi 21'
Nicolas Bertochi 21'
Maximiliano Anasco 40'
Maximiliano Anasco 40'
Matias Mir 72'
Matias Mir 72'
Sebastian Assis 82'
Sebastian Assis 82'
Franco Andres Rossi Donazar 87'
Franco Andres Rossi Donazar 87'
Martin Gianoli 88'
Martin Gianoli 88'
Alan Garcia 90'+3'
Alan Garcia 90'+3'
Julian Contrera 90'+5'
Julian Contrera 90'+5'

Mar 23, 2025 12.15am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Luis Franzini

Guillermo De Los Santos 41'
Guillermo De Los Santos 41'
Kevin Estiven Prieto Machado 45'+1'
Kevin Estiven Prieto Machado 45'+1'
75'
Jose Alvarez 88'
Jose Alvarez 88'
Nicolas Wunsch 90'
Nicolas Wunsch 90'

Facundo Peraza 50'
Martin Gianoli 66'
Martin Gianoli 66'
Facundo Bonifazi 90'+5'
Facundo Bonifazi 90'+5'

Nov 27, 2024 9.45pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Alan Di Pippa 22'
Matias Mir 43'
Julian Contrera 58'
Maximiliano Anasco 81'

Francisco Barrios 50'
Juan Jorge 65'

May 26, 2024 7.00pm

3

1

HT : 3 1

FT Estadio Luis Franzini

Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia 10'
Octavio Rivero 16'
Brian Mansilla 45'+1'
Agustin Soria 90'+3'

Mauro Brasil 12'
Hugo Silveira 36'
Hugo Silveira 48'
Lucas Correa 54'
Gino Santilli 74'
Nahuel Furtado 79'
Mauro Estol 86'
Briam Acosta 90'+2'

Form Data

Liverpool 0 - 0 Cerro Largo

Cerro Largo 2 - 0 Cerro

Cerro Largo 3 - 0 Boston River

Racing 1 - 0 Cerro Largo

Cerro Largo 2 - 3 Penarol

Progreso 0 - 1 Cerro Largo

Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Defensor

Defensor 1 - 1 Boston River

Racing 0 - 0 Defensor

Defensor 0 - 2 Penarol

Central Español 2 - 1 Defensor

Defensor 1 - 2 Juventud