Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 43.93%. A draw had a probability of 29.15% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 26.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.44%) , while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.