Copa Sudamericana
-
Rooney Anderson Troya Macias
15'
-
Rooney Anderson Troya Macias
15'
-
Gabriel Baralhas
75'
-
Gabriel Baralhas
75'
-
Luis Johan Moreno Zuniga
79'
-
Luis Johan Moreno Zuniga
79'
-
Gabriel Baralhas
27'
-
Gabriel Baralhas
27'
-
Jamerson
34'
-
Jamerson
34'
-
Ze Marcos
37'
-
Ze Marcos
37'
Universidad Catolica vs Vitoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Universidad Catolica in this match.
Result
Universidad Catolica
55.71%
▼
(-0.13)
Draw
23.55%
▲
(+0.02)
Vitoria
20.73%
▲
(+0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
51.12%
▲
(+0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.91%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
49.09%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
28.83%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
71.16%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
13.87%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
86.12%
▼
(-0.03)
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5
82.54%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
17.46%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
52.07%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
47.93%
▲
(+0.05)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5
61.93%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 0.5
38.07%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 1.5
25.16%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
74.84%
▼
(-0.13)
Score analysis
Universidad Catolica
55.71%
Draw
23.55%
Vitoria
20.73%
Universidad Catolica
1-0
@
11.6%
▼
(-0.04)
2-0 @ 10.12% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 55.71%
2-0 @ 10.12% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 55.71%
Draw
1-1
@
11.2%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 23.55%
0-0 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 23.55%
Vitoria
0-1
@
6.42%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 20.73%
1-2 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 20.73%
Head to Head
Copa Sudamericana
-
Lucas Braga
17'
-
Matheuzinho
76'
-
Gregori Anangono
12'
-
Jesus Luis Castillo Saa
19'
-
Jeronimo Cacciabue
37'
-
Azarias Londono
54'
-
Jesus Luis Castillo Saa
64'
-
Johan David Lara Medrano
90'+4'