Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 21
Apr 10, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion Yuro Gagarin
Oleksandriya

Desna
4 - 1
Oleksandriya

Imerekov (32'), Totovytsky (54', 90+2'), Hutsuliak (78')
Konoplia (50'), Bezborodko (58'), Ogirya (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kovalets (29')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and FC Oleksandriya.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.

Result
Desna ChernihivDrawFC Oleksandriya
48.23%25.52%26.24%
Both teams to score 51.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.13%51.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.37%73.62%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48%21.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43%54.57%
FC Oleksandriya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.44%34.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72%71.27%
Score Analysis
    Desna Chernihiv 48.23%
    FC Oleksandriya 26.24%
    Draw 25.52%
Desna ChernihivDrawFC Oleksandriya
1-0 @ 11.42%
2-1 @ 9.32%
2-0 @ 8.77%
3-1 @ 4.78%
3-0 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 48.23%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 7.44%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 7.9%
1-2 @ 6.45%
0-2 @ 4.2%
1-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 26.24%