Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 3
Jun 28, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion Yuro Gagarin
Dynamo Kiev

Desna
3 - 2
Dynamo Kiev

Kartushov (12'), Kargbo Jr (26' og.), Gitchenko (90+2')
Kartushov (27'), Kartushov (28'), Ogirya (34')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tsygankov (4', 86')
Shepelev (28'), Shabanov (62'), Kadiri (90+3')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Dynamo Kiev.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Desna Chernihiv win it was 1-0 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Desna ChernihivDrawDynamo Kiev
22.78%25.76%51.46%
Both teams to score 47.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.48%55.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.3%76.69%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.32%39.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.65%76.35%
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.38%21.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.26%54.73%
Score Analysis
    Desna Chernihiv 22.78%
    Dynamo Kiev 51.44%
    Draw 25.76%
Desna ChernihivDrawDynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 7.93%
2-1 @ 5.61%
2-0 @ 3.67%
3-1 @ 1.73%
3-2 @ 1.33%
3-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 22.78%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 8.58%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 13.13%
0-2 @ 10.05%
1-2 @ 9.3%
0-3 @ 5.14%
1-3 @ 4.75%
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-4 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 51.44%