European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Sep 4, 2020 at 3pm UK
 

Latvia U21s
2 - 2
Serbia U21s

Liepa (7'), Regza (16')
Saveljevs (51'), Litvinskis (57'), Tonisevs (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Masovic (50'), Adzic (66' pen.)
Ilic (74')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Latvia Under-21s and Serbia Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia Under-21s win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Latvia Under-21s had a probability of 16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.71%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Latvia Under-21s win it was 1-0 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Latvia Under-21sDrawSerbia Under-21s
16%20.57%63.43%
Both teams to score 51.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.4%43.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.01%65.99%
Latvia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.75%40.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.12%76.88%
Serbia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91%13.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.3%39.7%
Score Analysis
    Latvia Under-21s 16%
    Serbia Under-21s 63.43%
    Draw 20.57%
Latvia Under-21sDrawSerbia Under-21s
1-0 @ 4.79%
2-1 @ 4.44%
2-0 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.37%
3-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 16%
1-1 @ 9.75%
0-0 @ 5.27%
2-2 @ 4.51%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.57%
0-2 @ 10.89%
0-1 @ 10.71%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-3 @ 7.38%
1-3 @ 6.72%
0-4 @ 3.75%
1-4 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 3.06%
2-4 @ 1.55%
0-5 @ 1.53%
1-5 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 63.43%