European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Oct 9, 2020 at 4.45pm UK
Stadion Vasil Levski

Bulgaria U21s
1 - 0
Latvia U21s

Ivanov (67')
Rusev (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Balodis (8'), Zelenkovs (33'), Regza (43'), Soloveiciks (75'), Liepa (86')
Regza (46')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Bulgaria Under-21s and Latvia Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria Under-21s win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Latvia Under-21s had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Latvia Under-21s win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bulgaria Under-21s in this match.

Result
Bulgaria Under-21sDrawLatvia Under-21s
49.17%27.3%23.53%
Both teams to score 43.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.76%60.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58%80.42%
Bulgaria Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33%24.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8%59.2%
Latvia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37%41.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.89%78.11%
Score Analysis
    Bulgaria Under-21s 49.16%
    Latvia Under-21s 23.53%
    Draw 27.28%
Bulgaria Under-21sDrawLatvia Under-21s
1-0 @ 14.37%
2-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 8.82%
3-0 @ 4.69%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 1.8%
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-1 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 49.16%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 10.26%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9%
1-2 @ 5.52%
0-2 @ 3.95%
1-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 23.53%