World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 22, 2025 at 4pm UK

Stade de Kegue

Togo
2 - 2
Mauritania

Klidje (4'), Denkey (69')
Atte (36'), Atte (36'), Boateng (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Koita (52'), Mahmoud (55')
Koita (25'), Fofana (29'), Abeid (50'), Mouhsine (86')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Togo and Mauritania.

Form, Standings, Stats

Togo

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Togo 3-0 Eq Guinea
Sunday, November 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo DR	3	3	7
2	Morocco	3	2	6
3	Ivory Coast	3	-1	2
4	Togo	3	-4	1

Mauritania

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Cape Verde
Tuesday, November 19 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 52.18%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.24%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Togo	Draw	Mauritania
52.18% ( -0.05)	29.09% ( -0.02)	18.73% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 34.8% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

30.95% (

0.09)

69.05% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.38% (

0.06)

86.62% (

-0.06)

Togo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.66% (

0.02)

27.34% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.21% (

0.03)

62.79% (

-0.03)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.9% (

0.14)

52.11% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.93% (

0.09)

86.07% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Togo 52.18%

Mauritania 18.73%

Draw 29.08%

Togo	Draw	Mauritania
1-0 @ 18.47% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 1.49% Total : 52.18%	0-0 @ 14.24% ( -0.05) 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 29.08%	0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 18.73%