Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for AC Chievo Verona had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest AC Chievo Verona win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cremonese in this match.
