Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
3 - 2
Bologna

Parisi (13'), Richardson (67'), Kean (84')
Ranieri (20'), Gosens (65'), Parisi (77'), Mandragora (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dallinga (61'), Orsolini (79')
Ndoye (77')
Miranda (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Venezia 2-1 Fiorentina
Monday, May 12 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Bologna
Wednesday, May 14 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Bologna
39.57% ( -0.69)	27.25% ( 0.05)	33.18% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 49.75% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.33% (

-0.08)

55.66% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.18% (

-0.07)

76.82% (

0.07)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.51% (

-0.42)

27.48% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.02% (

-0.55)

62.98% (

0.55)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.6% (

0.38)

31.39% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.23% (

0.44)

67.76% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 39.57%

Bologna 33.18%

Draw 27.25%

Fiorentina	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.57%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.25%	0-1 @ 10% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.18%