Serie A
Gameweek
37
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ffiolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbollog_1.png)
-
Fabiano Parisi
13'
-
Luca Ranieri
20'
-
Robin Gosens
65'
-
Amir Richardson
67'
-
Fabiano Parisi
77'
-
Moise Kean
84'
-
Rolando Mandragora
90'
-
Thijs Dallinga
61'
-
Dan Ndoye
77'
-
Riccardo Orsolini
79'
-
Juan Miranda
88'
Fiorentina vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F20%2Fsam-beukema_1.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result
Fiorentina
39.57%
▼
(-0.69)
Draw
27.25%
▲
(+0.06)
Bologna
33.18%
▲
(+0.64)
Both Teams to Score:
49.75%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.33%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
55.66%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 3.5
23.18%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
76.82%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
10.22%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
89.77%
▲
(+0.05)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5
72.51%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 0.5
27.48%
▲
(+0.42)
Over 1.5
37.02%
▼
(-0.55)
Under 1.5
62.98%
▲
(+0.55)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5
68.6%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 0.5
31.39%
▼
(-0.39)
Over 1.5
32.23%
▲
(+0.45)
Under 1.5
67.76%
▼
(-0.45)
Score analysis
Fiorentina
39.57%
Draw
27.25%
Bologna
33.18%
Fiorentina
1-0
@
11.14%
▼
(-0.10)
2-1 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 39.57%
2-1 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 39.57%
Draw
1-1
@
12.91%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.25%
0-0 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.25%
Bologna
0-1
@
10%
▲
(+0.14)
1-2 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 33.18%
1-2 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 33.18%
Head to Head
Serie A
Gameweek
16
-
Tommaso Pobega
13'
-
Jens Odgaard
59'
-
Charalampos Lykogiannis
82'
-
Dodo
16'
-
Pietro Comuzzo
89'
Serie A
Gameweek
21
-
Riccardo Orsolini
12'
-
Remo Freuler
59'
-
Stefan Posch
90'+2'
-
Jens Odgaard
90'+5'
-
Nikola Milenkovic
34'
-
Cristiano Biraghi
90'+2'
-
Lucas Beltran
90'+7'
Coppa Italia
-
Giacomo Bonaventura
116'
-
Lewis Ferguson
88'
-
Alexis Saelemaekers
109'
Serie A
Gameweek
12
-
Giacomo Bonaventura
17'
-
Giacomo Bonaventura
17'
-
Giacomo Bonaventura
17'
-
Giacomo Bonaventura
45'+2'
-
Giacomo Bonaventura
45'+2'
-
Nicolas Gonzalez
48'
-
Nicolas Gonzalez
48'
-
Luca Ranieri
90'+5'
-
Joshua Zirkzee
33'
-
Joshua Zirkzee
33'
-
Alexis Saelemaekers
36'
-
Alexis Saelemaekers
36'
-
Thiago Motta
40'
-
Thiago Motta
40'
-
Michel Aebischer
45'+2'
-
Michel Aebischer
45'+2'
Serie A
Gameweek
21
-
Riccardo Saponara
19'
-
Riccardo Orsolini
14'
-
Stefan Posch
47'
Serie A
Gameweek
6
-
Musa Barrow
59'
-
Marko Arnautovic
62'
-
Lucas Martinez
54'